Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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879
FWUS46 KMFR 051101
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    15    0    0    0    5   25   15   10    5    0   10   20   20   20   15   25   35
TEMPERATURE        55   55   61   62   62   55   54   53   52   52   56   58   57   51   51   49   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           64                  50                  59                  47
WIND DIR           SE   SE    S    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         11   12   14   12   12    6    8   10    9   10   11   13   11   10   11   12   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 10.9 10.4 10.7 10.4 10.9 10.7 11.0 10.6 10.3 10.3 10.6 10.9 11.0 10.9 10.5 10.0


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    10    0    0    0   10   25   15   10    5    0   10   20   25   20   15   25   30
TEMPERATURE        50   54   65   66   65   52   49   47   46   50   60   62   60   49   47   44   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           67                  45                  63                  42
WIND DIR           SE   SE    S    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         11   10   12   11    9    4    5    9    9    9   10   12   11    8    9    9    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    0    0   10   10   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 10.7 10.4 10.6 10.2 11.0 10.7 10.9 10.6 10.3 10.2 10.5 10.8 11.1 10.9 10.5 10.0


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    15    0    0    0    5   30   20   15    5    0   10   20   20   15   15   25   35
TEMPERATURE        55   55   59   62   61   55   53   52   52   52   54   57   57   51   51   49   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           63                  50                  59                  47
WIND DIR           SE   SE    S    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         11   12   14   12   12    6    8   10    9   10   12   13   11   10   11   12   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 10.9 10.4 10.7 10.4 10.8 10.7 10.9 10.6 10.3 10.2 10.6 10.9 10.9 10.9 10.5 10.0


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    15    0    0    0    5   25   15   15    5    0   10   25   20   20   10   20   30
TEMPERATURE        43   45   50   51   50   44   42   41   40   41   46   46   45   39   39   37   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           51                  39                  46                  37
WIND DIR           SE    S    S   SE    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         21   21   24   19   17   12   17   21   20   19   18   19   16   16   19   21   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    43   47   44   37        31   47   57   55   41                  33   40   44   40
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    0    0   10   10   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.03
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 10.8 10.5 10.8 10.6 11.2 10.8 11.0 10.6 10.3 10.4 10.7 10.9 11.0 10.9 10.6 10.0


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    25    5    0    0    5   20   10   30   25    0   10   15   15   15   10   15   30
TEMPERATURE        55   56   63   66   65   58   54   53   51   52   58   61   60   55   51   49   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           67                  50                  61                  48
WIND DIR           SW   SE    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          9   10   12   16   12    8    6    8    9   11   12   14   16   12   10   12   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 11.5 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.8 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.2 10.1 10.4 10.6 10.9 10.8 10.6 10.1


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    10    0    0    0    5   25   15    5    5    0    5   20   20   20   15   25   35
TEMPERATURE        60   64   71   73   73   63   60   58   57   61   66   68   68   59   58   55   53
MAX/MIN TEMP                           75                  56                  70                  53
WIND DIR            S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    S    S
WIND (MPH)          4    5   11   11    8    6    4    5    6    6   11   11   10    5    3    3    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    0    0    5    5   10   10    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.3 10.1 10.3 10.1 10.8 11.0 10.9 10.6 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.8 10.9 10.8 10.5  9.9


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    10    5    5    0    5   15   10   10    5    0   15   25   25   25   15   25   35
TEMPERATURE        56   62   65   68   67   57   55   53   52   58   61   64   64   55   53   50   49
MAX/MIN TEMP                           69                  51                  65                  49
WIND DIR            S   SE    S    S    S    S    W    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          9   10   13   12    9    4    4    9   11   11   12   11   10    6    9    9    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   10   10    5    5    5    5   10   10   20   20    5    5    0
PRECIP TYPE                                                                     R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.3 10.2 10.4 10.3 11.1 10.9 10.9 10.6 10.3 10.3 10.6 11.0 11.1 11.0 10.6 10.0


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   40   60   60   55   55   55   55   35   35   65   65   55   55   45   40   40
TEMPERATURE        55   57   68   70   69   60   55   52   51   53   62   63   63   55   52   50   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           72                  50                  65                  48
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    S   NW   NW    E    E    E    S   SW    W    W    N    W   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)          6    6    9    6    9    8   10    8    6    9    8    9    9    4    5    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   40   40   30   30   30   30   20   20   50   50   30   30   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         T    T    T    T    T    T    R    R    R    R    T    T    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.02      0.05      0.00      0.00      0.07      0.32      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.7 12.2 11.9 11.4 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.6 11.8 11.5 11.4 11.3 11.2


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   35   60   60   55   55   50   50   35   35   65   65   50   50   40   40   35
TEMPERATURE        54   55   66   69   68   59   54   52   50   51   61   63   62   55   50   49   47
MAX/MIN TEMP                           71                  49                  65                  47
WIND DIR           NE    E   SE    S   NW    N   NE    E    E   SW    S   SW    W    N    W   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)          6    6    9    9    8   10    9    8    8    9    8    6    9    5    5    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   40   40   30   30   30   30   20   20   50   50   30   30   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         T    T    T    T    T    T    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.04      0.23      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.4 12.7 12.2 11.9 11.3 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.4 11.8 11.5 11.3 11.2 11.1


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   10   35   35   40   40   25   25   25   15   55   55   55   55   35   35   35
TEMPERATURE        55   55   69   74   74   65   58   54   52   52   64   69   68   60   54   50   47
MAX/MIN TEMP                           76                  50                  70                  47
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    S    W    W   NW    E    S    S   SW    W    W   NW   NW   NW   SE
WIND (MPH)          3    4    6    6    8    8    2    3    3    4    6    6    8    5    5    3    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   10   30   30   30   30   20   20   10
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    T    R    R              R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.5 12.1 12.0 11.9 12.2 11.7 11.3 11.0 10.9 10.8 10.8 11.1 11.6 11.4 11.3 11.1 10.8


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   35   60   60   55   55   45   45   40   35   60   60   55   55   45   40   35
TEMPERATURE        57   58   67   69   66   59   56   55   53   54   61   62   61   54   53   52   50
MAX/MIN TEMP                           70                  52                  63                  50
WIND DIR            E    E    S    W   NW   NW   NE    E    E    S   SW    W   NW    E   NW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)          6    8    9    6    9    6    6    8    6    8    8    8    9    6    6    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   50   50   40   40   30   30   20   20   40   40   30   30   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         T    T    T    T    T    T    R    R    R    R    T    T    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.07      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.07      0.18      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.5 12.3 12.7 12.5 12.1 11.8 11.4 11.1 11.0 11.1 11.6 11.6 11.4 11.4 11.2 11.1


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   45   65   65   60   60   55   55   45   45   60   60   55   55   50   40   40
TEMPERATURE        58   59   68   69   65   59   56   55   53   55   62   62   61   54   53   52   50
MAX/MIN TEMP                           70                  53                  64                  50
WIND DIR            E    E   SE    W   NW   NW    E    E   SE    S    W    W   NW    E   NW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)          8    8    8    6    8    5    9    9    8    8    6    8    9    5    5    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20   20   50   50   40   40   30   30   20   20   40   40   30   30   20   20   20
PRECIP TYPE         T    T    T    T    T    T    R    R    R    R    T    T    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.11      0.04      0.00      0.00      0.09      0.26      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 12.7 12.6 12.4 12.9 12.6 12.3 12.0 11.6 11.1 11.1 11.2 11.7 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.3 11.2


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 09/05/25                         SATURDAY 09/06/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   CL   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    45    5   10   10   30   30   35   35   10   10   55   55   50   50   45   25   40
TEMPERATURE        58   60   66   71   70   59   56   56   55   56   62   65   62   53   53   53   52
MAX/MIN TEMP                           72                  54                  66                  52
WIND DIR           SE    S    S    W   NW   NW   NW   SE    S    S   SW    W   NW   NW   NW   NW    S
WIND (MPH)          6    8   10   10    9    6    4    8    8    6    6    6    8    5    6    6    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0   10   10   20   20   20   20   10   10   30   30   30   30   20   20    5
PRECIP TYPE                             T    T    R    R              R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.16      0.26      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.9 11.0 10.7 11.1 12.0 11.5 11.4 11.1 11.0 10.9 10.8 11.4 11.6 11.5 11.3 11.0 10.6

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN