Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
421
FWUS46 KMFR 091101
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT THU OCT 9 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 75 70 90 95 100 95 90 85 75 75 85 80 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 40 38 36 38 37 37 39 39 36 33 32 34 34 31 32 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 32 36 30
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 26 23 23 24 26 25 28 31 28 25 27 27 25 18 17 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 50 47 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 20 20 5 20 60 60 70 70 60 60 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.43 0.15 0.03 0.37 0.22 0.14 0.20 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.6 1.4 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.5 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.1 7.2 6.6 6.6 6.7 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.9
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 75 70 85 90 95 90 85 80 75 80 85 80 65 65 50
TEMPERATURE 38 37 39 39 39 35 37 36 35 33 35 35 35 31 30 29 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 33 37 27
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S W
WIND (MPH) 19 17 17 18 19 19 21 24 21 19 20 21 19 14 13 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 20 20 5 20 60 60 70 70 60 60 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.34 0.09 0.02 0.26 0.16 0.15 0.18 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.0 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.6 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.9
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 80 70 85 95 100 95 90 85 80 75 85 80 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 40 38 36 37 37 37 39 39 36 34 32 33 33 32 32 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 32 37 29
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 25 23 23 24 26 26 28 31 28 25 27 28 25 18 17 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 50 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 20 20 5 20 60 60 70 70 60 60 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.42 0.15 0.04 0.35 0.23 0.14 0.20 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.7 1.3 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.5 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.1 7.2 6.6 6.6 6.7 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.9
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 70 70 85 90 95 90 80 80 75 75 85 80 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 30 30 28 30 29 27 29 29 25 24 23 24 24 23 22 22 22
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 23 26 22
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW S SW W
WIND (MPH) 43 40 40 41 43 44 50 55 52 48 51 52 44 34 28 21 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 82 81 82 86 88 93 103 109 112 109 112 115 98 71 55 47 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 20 20 5 20 60 60 70 70 60 60 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.10 0.04 0.37 0.14 0.18 0.24 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 2.0 0.5 0.3 3.0 1.2 1.6 2.4 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 2.5 3.3 2.8 2.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.5 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.1 7.2 6.6 6.7 6.8 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.9
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 75 55 65 90 95 95 90 80 80 75 85 85 70 70 60
TEMPERATURE 40 38 36 39 39 39 39 40 36 34 32 34 35 33 33 33 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 32 37 31
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 20 18 18 19 21 20 23 25 24 19 20 25 20 14 12 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 20 10 5 5 10 40 40 60 60 60 60 70 70 60 60 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.06 0.00 0.19 0.13 0.09 0.15 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.4 8.0 8.1 8.0 7.9 8.2 8.0 7.2 6.5 6.5 6.6 7.0 6.9 6.4 6.2 5.9
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 85 85 90 100 90 90 80 85 85 85 80 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 45 47 44 45 45 43 45 44 42 43 40 41 40 38 37 36 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 40 43 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S SE S S S S SE S SW SW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 11 10 10 10 8 6 8 9 11 10 10 8 6 5 4 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 20 10 30 70 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.35 0.11 0.05 0.29 0.14 0.21 0.16 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.3 8.5 7.7 6.7 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.9
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 75 80 85 90 95 85 80 80 85 85 85 80 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 41 43 39 41 42 39 41 40 37 39 36 37 37 34 33 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 35 40 31
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW NW
WIND (MPH) 17 17 17 17 18 17 19 23 19 17 19 18 17 12 11 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 30 20 10 40 70 50 70 70 80 80 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.15 0.04 0.15 0.08 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.4 8.2 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.4 7.7 6.9 6.4 6.5 6.8 7.0 6.7 6.2 6.2 5.9
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 90 90 95 95 95 85 85 90 90 90 90 80 75 75
TEMPERATURE 38 38 41 45 46 42 41 40 38 36 37 38 36 34 34 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 36 40 31
WIND DIR SW SE S SE S S S S S S S SW SW S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 19 19 17 14 12 19 18 18 20 16 13 14 14 17 14 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 20 30 20 20 20 60 80 80 90 90 90 90 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 0.21 0.16 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.3 8.0 8.0 7.5 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.6
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 90 95 95 95 90 80 90 90 90 90 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 37 37 39 43 45 41 40 39 37 35 35 37 35 33 33 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 34 39 29
WIND DIR S SE S SE SE S S S S S S SW S S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 19 18 17 13 12 19 18 18 21 16 12 14 14 17 13 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 50 20 20 20 20 20 60 70 70 90 90 80 80 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.07 0.14 0.22 0.15 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.5 8.4 8.0 8.0 7.5 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.6
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 90 85 85 95 90 80 80 90 90 90 90 75 70 75
TEMPERATURE 40 39 43 48 48 45 42 42 39 37 40 41 40 38 37 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 37 44 32
WIND DIR W SE SE SE S S SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 5 8 9 9 8 6 6 8 9 11 10 11 12 8 6 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 10 20 20 40 60 70 70 80 80 80 80 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.20 0.14 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.0 8.2 7.9 7.2 6.5 6.4 6.6 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.7
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 90 90 90 95 95 90 85 85 95 95 95 95 80 80 80
TEMPERATURE 38 38 40 43 44 41 40 40 38 37 36 37 35 34 35 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 36 39 31
WIND DIR W E S S S S S SE S S SW SW SW SW W SW W
WIND (MPH) 20 20 17 14 12 18 18 18 20 14 12 17 17 16 12 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 37 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 20 50 30 30 20 70 80 80 90 90 90 90 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE R S R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.08 0.17 0.14 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.3 8.1 7.9 7.3 6.7 6.5 6.5 6.7 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.7
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 90 90 90 95 95 95 85 85 95 95 95 95 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 38 38 41 44 45 42 41 40 38 37 37 37 36 34 34 34 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 36 39 32
WIND DIR W E S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W SW W
WIND (MPH) 20 21 17 14 11 18 18 17 20 16 12 16 14 17 13 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 20 50 30 30 20 70 80 80 90 90 90 90 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.08 0.15 0.13 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.4 8.0 7.9 7.4 6.8 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.7
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 80 95 90 95 100 85 85 85 95 95 85 85 70 70 70
TEMPERATURE 38 38 39 42 41 39 40 40 37 35 37 36 35 33 35 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 35 38 33
WIND DIR NE SE SE S S SE SE S S S S S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 23 19 18 17 17 17 19 24 18 14 16 20 23 13 10 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 20 30 50 80 40 80 80 90 90 80 80 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.21 0.07 0.25 0.07 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.2 8.3 8.3 8.1 7.6 6.8 6.1 6.4 6.6 6.7 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.8
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN