Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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986
FWUS46 KMFR 171101
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   SC   BK   BK   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   60   60   50   25   30   55   50   10   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0
TEMPERATURE        51   51   53   58   61   56   54   53   49   50   53   58   61   54   50   49   49
MAX/MIN TEMP                           61                  47                  61                  47
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         10   11   12   11    9   10   16   13   13   12   12   12   10   11   13   16   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   20   10   20   10   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T         T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.04      0.01      0.00      0.04      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 11.0 11.0 11.1 10.7 11.1 10.9 10.3  9.5  8.7  8.7  9.3  9.7  9.9  9.7  9.8  9.8


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   BK   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   50   45   40   25   30   45   50   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0
TEMPERATURE        46   49   58   62   65   55   48   44   41   44   56   63   65   55   48   44   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           66                  39                  66                  42
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)          6    8    9    9    8    8   11   10   10    9    9    9    9    8   10   12   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   20   10   20   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T         T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.03      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 10.9 10.9 11.0 10.7 11.2 10.9 10.2  9.5  8.7  8.6  9.1  9.6 10.0  9.7  9.8  9.8


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   60   60   50   20   25   55   50   15   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0
TEMPERATURE        51   51   52   58   61   56   53   53   49   50   53   57   60   54   50   50   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           61                  47                  60                  47
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         10   11   12   11    9   11   16   13   13   12   12   12   11   11   13   16   17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   20   10   10   10   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.04      0.01      0.00      0.04      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 11.0 11.0 11.1 10.7 11.0 10.9 10.2  9.5  8.7  8.7  9.3  9.6  9.9  9.7  9.8  9.8


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   45   45   45   25   25   40   35   10    5    5    0    0    5    0    0    0
TEMPERATURE        40   42   44   47   48   45   43   41   39   42   46   48   50   45   40   40   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           48                  39                  50                  38
WIND DIR           SW    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         14   17   18   18   17   18   25   24   24   21   20   20   19   20   24   27   28
WIND GUST (MPH)                   36   40   41   47   44   47   43   40   40   43   47   47   54   61
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   20   10   20   10   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.03      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.0 11.0 11.1 11.1 10.8 11.2 10.9 10.3  9.6  8.8  8.8  9.5  9.8 10.0  9.7  9.8  9.8


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   SC   BK   BK   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   65   55   45   25   15   35   55   50   25   10    0    5    0    0    0    0
TEMPERATURE        50   51   54   61   63   59   53   52   48   50   55   60   61   57   51   49   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           63                  48                  61                  48
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          8    9   10   13   12    9   13   12   10   10   11   12   10    9   11   13   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5   10   10   10   10    0    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.1 11.0 10.9 11.1 10.8 10.7 10.4 10.0  9.3  8.6  8.5  9.1  9.7  9.8  9.7  9.8  9.7


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   60   50   35   30   20   35   35   25   10    0    0    5    5    0    0    0
TEMPERATURE        56   58   63   69   72   66   60   57   54   56   63   71   73   65   57   55   53
MAX/MIN TEMP                           72                  52                  73                  53
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    S    S    S    S   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE    S   SW   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)          2    4    8   10    9    4    4    4    5    4    8    9    8    3    2    2    2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10   10   20   10   20   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T         T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.8 10.9 10.8 10.8 10.7 11.2 10.9 10.1  9.4  8.6  8.4  8.8  9.7 10.0  9.8  9.8  9.8


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   CL   CL   CL   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   65   60   55   35   35   40   50   40   10    0    0    5    5    0    0    0
TEMPERATURE        54   57   59   64   66   59   55   53   50   55   58   65   67   59   52   50   50
MAX/MIN TEMP                           66                  49                  67                  48
WIND DIR            S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S
WIND (MPH)          5    6   10   11   10    6    8    9    9    8   10   10   10    5    8    8    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5   10   20   20   20   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                   T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.7 10.6 10.7 11.0 11.0 11.5 10.9 10.1  9.5  8.8  8.8  9.3 10.1 10.4  9.9  9.9  9.8


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   CL   CL   FW   FW   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   60   40   60   75   80   65   65   70   60   35    5    5   10   10    5    5
TEMPERATURE        48   49   56   60   63   58   52   50   48   49   56   61   64   58   51   50   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           63                  47                  64                  48
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W   SW    S    S    S   SW   SW    W    W   NW   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)          4    5    8   10    8    3    3    4    5    6   11   10    9    6    4    3    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5   10   10    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.8  9.8 10.2 11.1 11.2 11.7 11.5 10.9 10.2  9.4  9.4  9.9 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.1


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   SC   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   70   40   55   70   70   45   60   65   60   40   10    5   10   10    5    5
TEMPERATURE        47   47   55   60   62   58   51   49   47   48   55   61   64   58   51   49   47
MAX/MIN TEMP                           63                  46                  64                  47
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W   NW   SW   SW    S    S    S   SW    W    W   NW   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)          4    5    8   10    6    4    3    4    5    5   10   10    8    6    4    3    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5   10   10    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.9  9.9 10.3 11.5 11.3 11.7 11.6 11.0 10.3  9.5  9.5 10.2 10.6 10.6 10.4 10.3 10.0


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        BK   OV   SC   BK   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   75   50   60   75   75   65   65   60   55   30    5    5    5    5    0    5
TEMPERATURE        49   49   58   66   66   61   54   50   48   48   60   67   69   63   54   50   47
MAX/MIN TEMP                           67                  46                  69                  47
WIND DIR           SE   SE    S   SW    W    W    W    S    S    S    S    W    W   NW   NW    N   SE
WIND (MPH)          2    4    5    6    5    5    3    3    4    4    6    6    8    8    4    2    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    0    0   10   10   10    5   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.1 10.3 11.1 11.7 11.6 11.2 10.6 10.0  9.4  9.2  9.8 10.7 10.6 10.2 10.0  9.9


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   BK   SC   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   55   35   55   80   80   70   65   65   55   35    5    5   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        48   50   56   61   62   56   51   50   48   49   55   60   62   56   50   49   48
MAX/MIN TEMP                           62                  47                  62                  48
WIND DIR            S    S    S    W    W   NW   SW    S    S    S   SW    W    W    W   NE   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)          3    4    9   10    9    4    2    3    4    5   11   11   11    6    4    3    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   10   10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.6  9.7 10.0 10.7 11.3 11.5 11.4 10.6  9.9  9.2  9.1  9.7 10.5 10.4 10.5 10.3 10.1


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   45   30   45   80   80   75   65   65   60   35    5    5   10    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        47   50   56   62   62   56   51   50   48   49   55   60   62   56   49   49   49
MAX/MIN TEMP                           62                  47                  62                  48
WIND DIR            S    S    S    W    W   NW    S    S    S    S   SW    W    W    W    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)          4    4    8   10    9    3    2    3    4    5   11   11   11    6    4    4    4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   10   10    5    5    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.3  9.6  9.9 10.5 11.1 11.5 11.5 10.6  9.9  9.2  9.1  9.7 10.4 10.3 10.6 10.5 10.2


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    SUNDAY 08/17/25                         MONDAY 08/18/25
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   BK   OV   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)    70   65   45   70   80   70   50   50   45   40   25    5   10    5    5    5    0
TEMPERATURE        52   52   55   61   60   53   51   51   51   51   56   63   63   55   51   52   51
MAX/MIN TEMP                           62                  50                  64                  50
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    W   NW   NW    S    S    S    S    S    W   NW   NW   NW   SE    S
WIND (MPH)          2    4    6    9   11    5    2    4    4    4    9    9    9    8    5    3    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    5    5   20   20   20    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
PRECIP TYPE                        T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.03      0.04      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0  9.8 10.0 11.1 11.9 11.8 11.0 10.3  9.5  9.0  9.0  9.9 10.9 10.8 10.4 10.1 10.0

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN