Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
046
FWUS46 KMFR 082301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT WED OCT 8 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 75 90 90 90 90 80 90 95 95 95 90 85 75 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 49 43 43 42 39 37 36 38 37 36 38 38 37 36 34 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 39 34 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 19 21 25 28 26 23 21 21 25 25 28 29 26 25 27 27 25
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 48 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 60 40 50 40 30 20 20 20 40 40 60 60 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.45 0.32 0.12 0.10 0.42 0.26 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.2 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.1 8.2 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.1 7.7 7.3 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.3
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 70 90 90 90 90 80 90 95 95 95 90 85 70 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 51 42 40 39 38 37 38 39 38 35 36 36 35 35 36 36 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 41 33 38
WIND DIR S S S S S S S SE S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 16 18 21 19 17 16 16 18 19 21 23 19 19 20 21 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 60 50 50 40 20 10 20 20 40 40 50 50 50 50 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.37 0.28 0.10 0.06 0.31 0.22 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.0 8.2 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.6 7.3 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.3
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 80 90 95 95 95 80 90 95 100 95 90 85 80 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 49 43 42 42 39 37 35 37 37 36 38 38 37 35 33 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 40 33 35
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 19 21 25 28 25 23 21 21 25 26 28 29 26 25 27 28 25
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 60 40 50 40 30 20 20 20 40 40 60 60 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.44 0.32 0.12 0.09 0.41 0.27 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.2 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.4 9.5 9.0 8.2 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.7 7.3 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.3
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 70 90 85 85 85 75 85 95 95 95 90 80 70 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 37 33 32 32 29 29 28 29 28 27 28 29 26 26 24 25 24
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 30 24 26
WIND DIR SW S S S S SW S S S S S S SW SW S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 33 36 39 43 43 40 39 39 42 44 49 51 49 48 51 52 44
WIND GUST (MPH) 72 72 71 75 82 81 82 82 85 89 100 107 109 109 112 115 98
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 60 50 50 30 20 10 20 20 50 50 60 60 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.46 0.29 0.10 0.10 0.32 0.17 0.16
6 HOUR SNOW 0.7 2.2 2.4 0.5 0.6 2.5 1.5 1.5
12 HOUR SNOW 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.1 8.3 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.1 8.0 8.1 7.8 7.2 6.7 6.8 7.1 7.3
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 45 75 90 95 90 75 70 90 95 90 90 85 75 70 70 85
TEMPERATURE 52 46 43 42 39 38 36 39 39 38 38 39 37 36 33 35 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 40 33 37
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 19 18 20 23 20 18 18 19 21 20 20 19 17 16 20 25 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 50 30 40 20 20 5 20 20 40 40 50 50 50 50 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.25 0.17 0.05 0.00 0.16 0.17 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.2 9.4 8.9 8.2 8.0 7.9 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.9 7.6 7.3 6.8 6.7 7.1 7.3
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 85 85 95 95 90 95 90 95 95 90 80 80 75 75 80
TEMPERATURE 59 51 48 47 45 46 43 45 45 43 44 43 42 45 41 42 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 47 40 45
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S SE S S S S SE S
WIND (MPH) 10 9 9 10 11 10 10 10 8 6 9 9 12 10 10 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 60 50 50 40 30 20 30 30 50 50 50 50 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.21 0.23 0.08 0.05 0.27 0.17 0.19
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.0 8.3 8.0 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.5 7.1 6.7 6.6 7.1 7.3
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 55 70 70 90 90 80 90 95 95 95 85 80 70 75 75 85
TEMPERATURE 55 47 44 43 41 43 39 40 41 39 40 40 38 41 37 38 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 43 36 41
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 14 16 18 17 16 16 16 17 17 19 20 18 18 19 18 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 50 50 50 30 20 20 30 30 50 50 50 50 60 60 80
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.16 0.12 0.09 0.05 0.19 0.10 0.20
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.6 9.4 8.9 8.4 8.0 7.8 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.0 7.5 7.1 6.7 6.7 7.1 7.3
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 60 65 80 85 75 90 90 95 95 90 90 85 75 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 51 43 41 39 38 37 40 43 44 41 40 39 38 37 38 38 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 45 37 40
WIND DIR SW SW S SW W W S S S S S SE S SE S S SW
WIND (MPH) 21 21 19 19 18 19 13 12 10 17 18 11 12 10 13 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 30 50 50 40 20 30 30 30 50 50 70 70 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE R R S S R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.09 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.09 0.26
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.2 7.4 7.3 7.9 8.0 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.3 6.9 6.9 7.0 6.9
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 65 70 85 85 85 90 95 90 100 90 90 85 75 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 50 43 40 38 37 35 38 42 43 41 39 38 37 35 37 37 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 44 35 39
WIND DIR SW SW S SW SW SW S SE S S S SE S SE S S S
WIND (MPH) 19 20 19 18 18 18 13 10 12 18 18 12 12 11 12 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 10 30 50 50 40 20 20 20 20 50 50 60 60 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.07 0.12 0.25
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.9 8.8 8.3 7.5 7.4 7.9 8.1 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.9 7.1 7.0
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 75 75 85 85 85 95 90 95 95 95 85 75 75 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 56 48 44 41 40 38 42 47 47 44 42 41 39 37 41 43 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 49 37 45
WIND DIR SW W SW SW W SE SE SE S S SE SE S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 12 5 5 6 5 8 9 9 8 6 6 8 9 11 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 40 40 50 40 10 20 20 20 50 50 60 60 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.24
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.4 7.6 7.7 7.8 8.0 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.6 7.2 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.0
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 60 65 80 85 70 85 90 95 95 95 85 80 75 90 90 95
TEMPERATURE 49 42 40 39 37 37 39 42 42 40 40 39 38 38 37 37 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 44 37 39
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W S S S S SW SE S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 23 23 19 20 19 20 14 12 10 17 17 13 11 11 12 14 17
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 30 50 50 50 20 40 30 30 60 60 70 70 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S R R S S R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.09 0.08 0.23
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.7 8.6 8.1 7.2 7.1 7.8 8.1 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.3 6.8 6.9 7.0 6.9
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW BK BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 60 65 80 90 65 85 90 95 95 90 80 80 80 90 90 95
TEMPERATURE 50 42 40 38 37 37 40 43 43 41 40 39 38 37 37 37 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 44 37 39
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W SW S S S S SW SE SW S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 24 24 19 20 19 21 14 11 9 17 17 11 10 10 12 12 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 30 50 50 50 20 40 30 30 60 60 70 70 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE R R S S R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.10 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.10 0.09 0.21
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.6 8.5 8.0 7.1 6.8 7.8 8.1 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.5 7.2 6.9 6.9 7.0 6.9
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 10/09/25 FRIDAY 10/10/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 85 70 60 70 70 80 95 95 95 95 80 80 80 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 52 44 42 39 38 38 39 42 41 39 40 40 38 39 38 38 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 42 38 39
WIND DIR W NW W W NW SE SE S S S SE S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 20 19 19 24 23 19 14 14 14 14 17 14 16 13 14 18 23
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 30 50 30 5 10 40 40 60 60 70 70 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.13 0.11 0.05 0.25
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.8 8.4 7.6 7.1 7.4 7.5 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4 6.9 6.6 6.5 6.9 6.9
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN