684
FXUS66 KMFR 072149
AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
249 PM PDT Mon Apr 7 2025

.DISCUSSION...A strong westerly jet is ushering in moist and
unstable conditions with some showers continuing on radar this
afternoon mainly along and east of a line from Toketee Falls to
Medford to Fort Jones. Precip should slowly end as we progress
into the evening. Another frontal system arrives Tuesday which
will keep some decent shower chances (50-80%) going for the coast
and Umpqua, but leaving other areas mainly dry.

A significant warmup is in storm from Wednesday into Thursday
with high temperatures increasing to 10 to 15 degrees above normal
by Thursday afternoon.

The ridge will be short-lived as another trough quickly moves in
Friday-Saturday with additional shower chances and temperatures
dipping back down 10 degrees or so. MTS

&&

.AVIATION...07/18Z TAFs...Flight levels are generally stable with
MVFR to LIFR levels remaining along the Oregon coast. Inland, levels
are at VFR under high ceilings but passing showers will occasionally
locally lower ceilings and visibilities. Periods of gusty winds are
present along the Oregon coast, in some west side valleys (including
Medford) and over east side terrain this afternoon. Scattered
showers will continue through the TAF period, generally remaining
near and west of the Cascades. -TAD/Hermansen

&&

.MARINE...Updated 200 PM Monday, April 7th...Gusty southerly winds
are calming through this afternoon before strengthening again into
tomorrow. Localized occurrences of gale gusts may be possible north
of Cape Blanco and within 30 nm from shore tomorrow morning as the
front approaches. A Hazardous Seas Warning in all waters will be in
effect tomorrow morning to highlight expected wind-built very steep
and hazardous seas developing with this front.

Beyond Tuesday`s front, periods of unsettled weather and atmospheric
stability look to alternate but with nothing significantly impactful
in the current forecast. After steep seas Tuesday evening, seas look
to improve tomorrow night, with below advisory conditions expected
Wednesday through Thursday. A weak front may bring a brief period of
steeps seas Thursday night before seas look to fall back below
advisory levels on Friday and Saturday. -TAD/Hermansen

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Tuesday
     for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning from 5 AM to 5 PM PDT Tuesday for PZZ350-
     356-370-376.

&&

$$