597
FNUS72 KMFL 171937
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Caracara Prairie Rx Burn...Collier County
National Weather Service Miami FL
337 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 EDT on August 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Dry and hot conditions on Tuesday with westerly winds up to around
10-15 mph leading to good dispersions. Tuesday night will be clear
and dry with winds lightening. By Wednesday, rain chances begin to
increase again with rain chances increasing by the midday hours
when showers and thunderstorms are expected to become more
scattered across the area. Strong wind gusts would be possible
with any storms as well as frequent lightning. Good dispersions
are expected on Wednesday as well.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph.
Dispersion index....48.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
Temp............96  94
RH..............51  53
20 FT wind dir..W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   10
20 FT wind gust.21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 4.1
Transp wind dir.W   W
Transp wind spd.13  13
Dispersion idx..48  48
LVORI...........1   1

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....41 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11  6   18  13  15  17  18  14  16  43  26  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............92  89  85  83  81  80  79  78  77  77  77  77
RH..............58  61  72  77  82  85  88  91  94  94  94  94
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.21  18  15  14  12  9   9   7   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6
Dispersion idx..41  29  7   8   6   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 42 late in the morning, increasing to 55
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   6   4   30  22  13  19  24  30  33  35  38
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20  60  60  60  60
Temp............77  78  78  83  87  91  92  93  94  93  92  91
RH..............94  94  94  85  75  66  64  60  58  60  62  64
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   5   7   8   9   12  13  14  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.6 2.8 3.9 4.4 4.8 5.3 4.8 4.2 3.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10
Dispersion idx..3   3   6   14  25  39  45  52  57  55  52  46
LVORI...........7   6   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Redman
Requested by...Julie Motkowicz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619865.0/MFL
.DELDT 08/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0