250
FNUS72 KMFL 191030
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for NW-4 Pines...Seminole Tribe of Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
630 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on August 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Light northerly winds this morning will increase and become gusty at times
during the afternoon hours as showers and storms develop. Dispersion values
will reach the good category this afternoon as transport winds enhance. Relative
humidity values will remain above critical thresholds.

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....26 increasing to 60.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........10  12  17  15  21  20  28  40
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  20  20  60  60  70  60
Temp............87  89  90  91  92  92  92  92
RH..............75  68  64  60  56  54  52  51
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   7   8   7
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  15  16  17  18  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.4 4.0 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.3 3.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   9   10  12  13  13
Dispersion idx..26  39  46  51  54  60  63  57
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (10-20 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....40 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........28  33  38  46  36  43  9   18  11  4   22  16
Weather cov.....LKY CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............89  88  85  81  79  79  78  77  77  77  76  75
RH..............56  57  70  82  88  88  88  90  90  90  94  97
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.17  14  12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  9   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..40  19  4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph with
                    gusts to around 21 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 16 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 late in the morning increasing
                    to 57 late in the morning increasing to 75
                    increasing to 83 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 72.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........8   23  10  10  10  9   9   10  10  17  24  31
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   40  40  40  40
Temp............75  74  76  81  84  88  90  91  93  92  92  92
RH..............94  97  97  85  77  66  60  56  52  52  52  52
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10  12  13  15  16  17  18  20  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.6 3.7 4.6 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   10  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..3   3   7   16  35  57  71  79  82  84  81  72
LVORI...........8   9   8   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Hadi
Requested by...Jeffrey Radakovic
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520164.0/MFL
.DELDT 08/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0