Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
382
FNUS72 KMFL 231056
FWSMFL
Spot Forecast for Pepper Ranch Preserve...Conservation Collier Program /Collier County
National Weather Service Miami FL
656 AM EDT Wed Jul 23 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Generally light southerly winds will prevail on Wednesday at the
site, with a potential shift from the southwest in the afternoon
if the Gulf breeze manages to make it far enough inland. Chances
for scattered showers and thunderstorms increase after 11AM, with
intermittent activity possible until 5-6PM. Erratic wind gusts and
frequent lightning would be likely with those storms. Winds shift
out of southeast on Thursday, with similar chances for storms in
the afternoon and evening. Dispersion values remain poor to fair
through the period.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms late in the morning, then
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43 48 44 48 48 62 58 55 51
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF LKY DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF LKY DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 30 40 70 90 80 70 80
Temp............79 82 84 85 85 83 83 83 81
RH..............94 85 82 80 80 85 82 80 85
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.7 9 12 12 13 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.9
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 9
Dispersion idx..7 14 21 27 32 27 27 29 23
LVORI...........6 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly clear (15-25 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph increasing to 7 to 10 mph
overnight.
Dispersion index....11 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53 54 33 36 28 31 30 11 7 2 1 20
Weather cov.....DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).80 60 40 30 30 20 10 0 0 10 10 0
Temp............79 80 79 78 77 76 75 74 74 74 74 74
RH..............91 85 88 88 90 94 94 97 97 97 93 93
20 FT wind dir..S S SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..5 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT wind gust.13 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE E E
Transp wind spd.8 6 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 10
Dispersion idx..14 7 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
LVORI...........4 5 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
morning.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 16 late in the morning, then
increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
to 55 late in the morning decreasing to 45
decreasing to 37 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13 7 9 4 10 16 28 40 52 57 61 66
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40 80 80 80 80
Temp............74 74 76 80 84 87 89 90 90 89 87 85
RH..............93 93 97 91 82 75 70 68 68 70 72 77
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.8 8 9 10 13 14 15 15 15 15 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.1
Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.9 8 8 9 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12
Dispersion idx..4 4 8 16 36 52 58 58 53 47 42 37
LVORI...........8 7 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 3 3
$$
Forecaster...Torres-Vazquez
Requested by...Christal Segura
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518448.0/MFL
.DELDT 07/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0