469
FNUS72 KMFL 071310
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Rogers River WF...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
910 AM EDT Thu Aug 7 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EDT on August 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered storms will become more likely after 1 pm and become
widespread after 3 pm. Easterly winds this morning will likely become
NNW later this afternoon, but are expected to be erratic near
thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the southeast
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....29 increasing to 31 early in the afternoon,
                    then decreasing to 22 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  28  36  46  70  78  73  90
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  50  70  80  90  90  90
Temp............84  86  87  88  87  86  85  87
RH..............82  75  72  68  70  72  77  70
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12  13  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.6 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.2 2.6 1.9
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   8   7   7   7   7   8   8
Dispersion idx..24  33  35  31  28  27  25  19
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....9 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  84  84  67  50  40  32  33  36  24  33  36
Weather cov.....DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).80  60  50  30  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Temp............83  82  81  78  77  77  77  77  77  76  76  76
RH..............80  79  85  94  97  97  97  100 97  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  10  7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   6   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Dispersion idx..12  6   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........4   4   5   7   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 31.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........24     29     27     47     62     75
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     70     70     70     80     80
Temp............76     77     83     87     88     87
RH..............100    100    85     72     70     70
20 FT wind dir..E      E      SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..2      3      3      6      6      6
20 FT wind gust.7      8      12     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    2300   3600   3700   3900
Transport wind..SE 6   SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   SE 8   SE 8
Dispersion idx..2      5      20     33     28     29
LVORI...........9      9      4      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Harrigan
Requested by...Dylan Scott
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519486.0/MFL
.DELDT 08/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0