Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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Spot Forecast for SE 5...Seminole Tribe of Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
823 AM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light and variable winds at the burn site early this morning will
increase out of the west southwest during the early afternoon
hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
especially during the afternoon and early evening hours. Maximum
dispersion values this afternoon will rise into the good to very
good category at the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 37 late in the morning increasing
                    to 47 early in the afternoon increasing to 62
                    decreasing to 50 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 38.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........10  26  18  26  38  41  38  45  64
Weather cov.....            SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  40  50  60  70  60
Temp............81  86  88  90  91  91  92  92  92
RH..............91  77  72  66  64  60  58  58  58
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   9   9   10  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.3 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10
Dispersion idx..10  22  37  47  58  65  58  50  38
LVORI...........5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph becoming light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........61  51  53  48  43  36  29  23  23  25  19  14
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  30  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............89  87  84  81  80  79  78  78  77  76  76  75
RH..............61  65  74  82  85  88  91  91  94  94  97  97
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  12  9   9   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   6   6   5   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..25  14  4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   6   6   7   7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the morning, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 39 late in the morning increasing
                    to 45 early in the afternoon decreasing to 34
                    decreasing to 22 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 11.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON
Sky (%).........20     26     35     31     41     58
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0      30     30     30     70     70
Temp............76     77     84     89     90     88
RH..............97     97     82     68     64     66
20 FT wind dir..SW     S      SW     W      W      W
20 FT wind spd..2      2      3      5      5      6
20 FT wind gust.6      6      8      9      12     14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    2500   3500   3600   1800
Transport wind..SW 6   SW 5   SW 7   SW 9   W 9    NW 9
Dispersion idx..2      4      21     40     45     22
LVORI...........8      8      3      2      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Caracozza
Requested by...Mike Lightsey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520441.0/MFL
.DELDT 08/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0