Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
003
FNUS72 KMFL 022248
FWSMFL
Spot Forecast for Union fire...Florida state parks
National Weather Service Miami FL
648 PM EDT Sat May 2 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
A weakening frontal boundary will approach the region as tonight
progresses. The chances of showers and thunderstorms will increase
at the burn site out ahead of this frontal boundary later this
evening and into the overnight. After this initial round of
shower and thunderstorm activity later this evening into the
overnight hours, there will be a lull in activity through Sunday
morning that will last into the early afternoon hours. Another
round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible later on
Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Maximum dispersion values on
Sunday will remain poor to fair at the burn site.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the late evening
and overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....36 decreasing to 7 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38 47 66 65 64 61 64 67 71 85 74
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 10 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 60
Temp............84 81 79 78 76 75 74 74 74 73 72
RH..............70 77 85 88 90 94 97 93 93 97 97
20 FT wind dir..SW W W W W W W W SW SW W
20 FT wind spd..8 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.17 14 12 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.15 13 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Dispersion idx..36 9 8 6 5 5 4 4 4 5 5
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 6 6 7 6 7 7 7
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph early in
the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 10 mph shifting to the north 7
to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72 82 83 67 83 75 70 75 73 71 78 77
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 50 40 40 50 60 70 60 60 60 70
Temp............72 70 72 74 77 78 80 81 82 82 82 80
RH..............97 100 93 93 85 82 77 72 72 72 69 77
20 FT wind dir..NW N N N N N NE NE N N N N
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.9 10 12 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.1
Transp wind dir.W NW N N N N N NE NE NE N N
Transp wind spd.9 10 10 9 8 7 7 8 8 9 9 10
Dispersion idx..6 7 17 20 20 21 22 25 26 27 27 27
LVORI...........7 8 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms early in the
evening, then slight chance of thunderstorms
early in the evening. Chance of showers early
in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........84 87 90 90 84 78 75 71 68 67 66 65
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70 70 50 50 50 50 50 50 30 30 30 30
Temp............78 78 75 73 72 71 70 69 68 68 67 67
RH..............79 76 84 90 93 93 93 97 97 97 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE N NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.15 14 12 12 12 10 9 8 8 8 9 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 12 10 9 8 7 7 6 6
Dispersion idx..25 22 8 8 8 7 6 5 4 4 4 5
LVORI...........3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 24 late in the morning, then
increasing to 32 late in the morning increasing
to 50 in the afternoon decreasing to 42.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65 66 66 63 60 57 52 46 41 40 40 39
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30
Temp............67 68 68 72 75 79 81 83 85 85 85 86
RH..............100 97 97 87 82 74 69 63 59 59 59 57
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.12 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.3 3.7
Transp wind dir.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Dispersion idx..5 6 14 20 27 32 45 51 54 52 48 42
LVORI...........8 8 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Caracozza
Requested by...Steven bass
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2612533.0/MFL
.DELDT 05/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0