473
FNUS72 KMFL 121918
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Iron Wildfire...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
318 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on July 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to develop near and over the burn site
this afternoon and possibility last into the early evening hours.
Winds will remain southeast, but could become erratic with any
shower or thunderstorm over the burn site. The winds will then
become light and variable tonight with dry weather mainly after
midnight.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph.
Dispersion index....17.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68  65
Weather cov.....DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........DEF DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80
Temp............88  90
RH..............68  64
20 FT wind dir..S   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.1
Transp wind dir.E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6
Dispersion idx..19  15
LVORI...........3   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 6 mph becoming 5 to 6 mph
                    early in the evening, then shifting to the east
                    around 3 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....7.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  62  79  70  66  43  40  27  29  17  20  16
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  50  30  20  10  0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............87  86  84  80  79  79  77  76  76  75  75  74
RH..............70  72  77  88  91  91  97  97  97  100 97  100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  E   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.7   7   2                       1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E   NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
Dispersion idx..11  8   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   4   6   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 2 to 3 mph increasing to 2 to 6 mph early
                    in the morning, then shifting to the east 6 to
                    7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 14 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 28 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    16 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  19  24  17  23  35  35  52  67  68  62  65
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  30  40  50  60  70  80
Temp............74  75  77  81  85  86  89  90  90  90  89  90
RH..............100 100 97  85  75  72  66  64  62  62  64  64
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   1   2   3   3   3   3   1   0   3
20 FT wind gust.1   1   1       3   5   6   6   5       1   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.4 4.2 3.0 1.8
Transp wind dir.NE  N   NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  N   E   SE
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   7
Dispersion idx..2   1   2   4   11  17  24  26  31  29  24  16
LVORI...........9   10  9   5   3   3   3   2   1   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...Simon Vickers
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517605.8/MFL
.DELDT 07/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0