Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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540
FNUS72 KMFL 121116
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Iron Wildfire...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
716 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on July 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Light winds early today will increase out of the southeast by
late morning. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
this morning through the afternoon hours, with frequent
lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours all possible.
Conditions improve overnight as winds become light and variable
once again. Light, variable winds will prevail on Sunday, with a
later start to shower and thunderstorms activity. Maximum
dispersion values at the burn site will remain poor to fair.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then showers with thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon, then gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 23 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   12  30  38  42  59  74  76  68  73
Weather cov.....    SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY DEF
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  30  50  60  60  70  80  70  80
Temp............77  81  85  87  90  89  89  88  90  87
RH..............100 94  80  72  66  68  66  70  66  70
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.4 2.6 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.2 2.8 2.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
Dispersion idx..6   11  20  25  26  24  22  22  21  19
LVORI...........6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the evening, then gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....12 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........80  60  72  48  46  41  32  28  22  14  21  20
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH                         SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW                          RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH                         SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  40  30  20  10  0   10  10  10  10  20
Temp............87  86  82  81  79  79  78  78  77  76  76  76
RH..............70  72  82  85  91  91  94  94  97  97  97  94
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   NE  E   E   NE  NE  E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   5   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
Dispersion idx..14  9   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the northwest
                    early in the morning, then becoming northwest
                    around 3 mph late in the morning shifting to
                    the southwest 3 to 5 mph early in the afternoon
                    shifting to the south shifting to the northeast
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 34.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  17  22  19  33  47  56  65  74  71  69  66
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  40  40  40  40  40  40  70  70  70  70
Temp............74  75  77  82  86  87  88  88  88  88  87  86
RH..............100 100 100 91  77  70  66  63  63  63  68  72
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.        3           3   3   5   5   5   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.4 3.3 3.8 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.0 2.3
Transp wind dir.S   W   NW  NW  NW  N   NW  SW  S   S   E   NE
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   8   10  13
Dispersion idx..2   1   3   5   10  14  16  17  21  31  36  35
LVORI...........9   9   8   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Torres-Vazquez
Requested by...Simon Vickers
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517605.7/MFL
.DELDT 07/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0