Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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048
FNUS72 KMFL 062121
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for C-1...USFWS
National Weather Service Miami FL
521 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will gradually diminish at the
burn site as the evening progresses allowing for mainly dry
conditions to prevail during the overnight hours. Light and
variable winds overnight will increase out of the Southeast on
Wednesday morning before shifting and becoming south to southwest
later on Wednesday afternoon as a Gulf breeze pushes inland.
Maximum dispersion values on Wednesday will rise into the
generally good category.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....17 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  55  53  54  55  49  46  34  19  17  20  20
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............86  84  80  78  77  76  75  74  73  72  70  70
RH..............68  72  79  88  88  87  90  90  93  97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   7   5   5   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   6   7   7
Dispersion idx..21  12  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   4   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  34  30  25  25  24  23  30  26  28  26  40
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  30  30  30  30
Temp............70  69  71  75  81  84  87  90  91  91  92  90
RH..............100 100 100 94  79  67  61  54  50  50  49  54
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   10  12  14  13  13  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.6 2.6 3.7 4.6 5.5 6.4 5.7 5.0 4.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   10  10  10  9   7   6   7   8   9
Dispersion idx..4   4   9   21  35  48  50  49  49  47  48  47
LVORI...........9   9   8   5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph shifting to the north around 5
                    mph overnight, then shifting to the east 3 to 5
                    mph overnight shifting to the southeast 6 to 7
                    mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  39  39  43  32  57  24  28  31  29  26  24
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20  0   0   0   0
Temp............89  87  82  79  78  76  75  74  73  72  71  69
RH..............55  62  72  79  82  87  87  87  90  91  95  96
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  N   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   8   3   3   3           3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   E   E   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   7   6   6   5   3   3   5   6   7
Dispersion idx..37  25  3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   6   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon. Chance of showers late
                    in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 60.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  18  15  14  14  13  16  18  21  19  18  16
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  30
Temp............70  70  70  75  79  84  86  88  91  91  91  91
RH..............95  94  93  82  71  63  59  53  49  49  51  51
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   5   6   6   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.1 2.1 3.1 4.1 5.0 6.0 6.9 6.2 5.5 4.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   9   9   9   8   7   8   9   10
Dispersion idx..4   4   12  25  38  49  54  56  60  61  61  59
LVORI...........6   6   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Caracozza
Requested by...Wesley oconnor
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513266.0/MFL
.DELDT 05/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0