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FGUS72 KMFL 121949
ESFMFL
FLC011-021-043-051-086-087-099-130800-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
349 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

...Heavy Rainfall Expected Across South Florida Early To Middle OF
Next Week...

Broad low/mid level cyclonic flow around the disturbance, combined
with the very high moisture values, will result in periods of
rainfall at most times of the day, not just during peak diurnal
cycles.

The wind flow on Monday will be light due to a northerly in the
upper levels and a light southerly flow at the surface. The 500 mb
temp will also be around -4 to -5C which is warm for this time of
year. This means that there could be nearly stationary showers and
thunderstorms on Monday over South Florida which will exceed 1 inch
over most of the area, with high-end amounts in excess of 3 inches,
in some areas perhaps quite a bit higher. WPC`s Excessive Rainfall
Outlook is currently showing a slight risk of flooding over South
Florida for Monday.

Tuesday and Wednesday`s rainfall amounts could be similar, if not
even higher in some areas, as the wind flow shifts to S/SE direction
allowing for deep tropical moisture to work into the region keeping
the very high moisture values in place. WPC`s Excessive Rainfall
Outlook has put South Florida in a Slight Risk Of Flooding for
Tuesday and Marginal Risk of Flooding for Wednesday.

At this time, it looks like rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with
locally higher amounts up to 6 inches are possible through
Wednesday. There could even be higher amounts with the storms train
or sit over the same area. If these trends continue in later
forecast through the weekend, but a Flood Watch may be needed for
South Florida for early next week.

$$

Baxter