438
FXUS62 KMFL 031905
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
305 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEEKEND ALONG WITH HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES...

...ROUGH MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
ATLANTIC WATERS...

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

A strengthening mid level ridge combined with a rather large area of
high pressure at the surface will continue to dominate the weather
pattern across South Florida through the rest of today and into
Friday. With plenty of subsidence in place from these two features,
plenty of dry air will continue to filter into the mid and upper
levels during this time frame. While most of the region will remain
dry this afternoon and Friday, there will be just enough lower level
moisture advecting across the area to support the possibility of a
brief shower or two mainly over the Atlantic waters as well as the
eastern half of the region. Any shower that does develop will be low
topped and short lived due to the abundance of dry air aloft. With
the surface area of high pressure remaining rather strong, this will
also allow for the pressure gradient across South Florida to remain
tight through the end of the week. The result will be breezy
southeasterly winds today as well Friday. Winds could also be gusty
especially along the immediate east coast where gusts could be as
high as 30 mph this afternoon. High temperatures will remain on the
warm side this afternoon and Friday as they will rise into the lower
to mid 80s along the east coast, and up to around 90 across interior
portions of Southwest Florida.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

This Weekend...
The ridge of high pressure over the Western Atlantic waters will
continue to remain nearly stationary through this weekend keeping
any fronts to the north from coming down into Florida. This in
turn will keep the dry weather in place over South Florida this
weekend. The winds will also continue to be southeast at 10 to 15
mph except breezy along the east coast metro areas.

Highs each day this weekend will be in the 80s over the east
coast metro areas to around 90 over rest of South Florida. This
will allow for the heat indices to get up to around 90 over the
east coast metro areas to the lower to mid 90s over rest of South
Florida. Lows will be in the 60s over the interior areas to the
lower to mid 70s over the metro areas.

Early to Middle of Next Week...
The ridge of high pressure over the Atlantic waters will break
down early next week allow for a cold front over the central
United States to move southeast and through South Florida by
middle of next week. This will allow for the wind flow to be more
south/southwest early next week over South Florida allowing for
moisture to return to the region. Therefore, scattered to numerous
showers and even a few thunderstorms will be possible over the
region especially on Tuesday ahead of the cold front.

The wind flow will then become more north/northeast middle of
next week with the passage of the cold front. This in turn will
allow for some drier air to work into the region, but there could
still be some showers over the east coast metro areas due onshore
flow. Therefore, a slight chance of showers will remain in the
forecast for the east coast metro areas for the middle of next
week.

Highs early next week (ahead of the cold front) will be in the
lower to mid 90s except around 90 west coast metro areas. Heat
indices during this time will be in the mid to upper 90s except
lower 90s west coast metro areas. Highs will then be cooler behind
the front with upper 70s to lower 80s for middle of next week as
lows will be in the 50s except 60s over the metro areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Predominantly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast
period. Strong southeasterly wind flow will continue this afternoon
into this evening with wind speeds of 20 to 25 kts common across
the east coast terminals. Wind gusts could range between 25 and 30
kts this afternoon and into the evening hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

A moderate to fresh southeasterly breeze will continue across the
local waters through the rest of the week and into the first part
of the weekend. These winds could still be occasionally strong
over the Atlantic waters tonight into the early portions of Friday
resulting in hazardous marine conditions during this time frame.
Winds will slowly begin to subside during the second half of the
weekend. Seas across the Atlantic waters will range from 3 to 6
feet through the end of the week while seas across the Gulf waters
range from 2 to 4 feet.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1222 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

With a breezy southeasterly wind flow in place, a high risk of rip
currents will continue across the Atlantic Coast beaches through the
rest of the week and into the upcoming weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            75  83  74  84 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     72  86  74  87 /  10   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        72  83  74  86 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        75  84  75  84 /  10   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  74  83  75  82 /  10   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  74  83  74  83 /  10   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   75  83  74  87 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  72  83  73  84 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       73  84  74  84 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           70  88  70  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for
FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory through Saturday morning for
AMZ630-650-651- 670-671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CWC/WR
LONG TERM....BNB
AVIATION...CWC