370
FXUS62 KMFL 121538
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1038 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

...New SHORT TERM, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 1036 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

A broad Bermuda ridge continues to be the dominant synoptic feature,
as South Florida is encompassed within the southwest quadrant of
this expansive upper high. As a result, warm/moist maritime tropical
air will continue to advect over the region, keeping the CWFA
seasonably warm. Latest VIS satellite imagery indicates agitated
cumulus fields developing across the SE coast, indicating some
evidence of instability. With that being said, a lack of forcing for
ascent will diminish any rainfall chances in the near term. Not much
to speak of in terms of sensible weather today.

Thursday will feature a very similar setup, with little day-to-day
deviation compared to today, though a bit warmer with subtle veering
of surface winds. Another warm and muggy day with predominately
south-southeasterly winds, which may be gusty at times along the
immediate east coast. Expect the benign and warm weather to
continue.

The main story will be the aforementioned seasonably warm
temperatures, especially for SW Florida. Afternoon maximum
temperatures will reach the low/upper 80s along the east
coast/interior-SW Florida. There is possibility that several high
temperatures may be reached or exceeded tomorrow, particularly for
the interior region. Also dewpoints will reach the low to mid 70s
for much of the region, rendering the area to feel more like
April/May as opposed to what one may typically expect in February.
Therefore it is important to monitor outdoor activities and take
necessary precautions to avoid any heat-related illnesses.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 237 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

The aforementioned cold front will approach South Florida as
a weak boundary on Friday, but the mid/upper level high over
the Caribbean will hold steady and result in the boundary stalling
over the area before eventually dissipating during the first half
of the weekend. The boundary`s presence over the area will
provide enough instability for some scattered showers on Friday,
specifically during the peak heating hours.

Another system moving out of the Plains will approach the
northeast US late in the weekend into early next week. A frontal
boundary associated with this system will have a better chance to
clear South FL late Sunday into early Monday thanks to a deeper
trough swinging through the eastern half of the US. Some scattered
showers are possible ahead of the front on Sunday into early
Monday, but the more noticeable impact will be cooler temperatures
and lower humidity on the back side of the front early next week.

Above normal temps continue for the end of the week through
the weekend, with highs in the mid 80s through the end of the
week. After the frontal boundary moves through early next week,
temps fall back to normal with highs in the mid to upper 70s
across the metro and lows across South FL in the 50s/60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals, however IFR/LIFR
conditions may be present over the interior region through about
13-15Z owing to dense fog/low CIGs. Winds generally SE around 5-10
kt, with gusts to 15-20 kt at times today.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1036 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

Generally favorable boating conditions for now, although increasing
southeasterly winds will result in wave heights over the Atlantic
waters in the 3-5 foot range. Towards the end of the week, winds may
be gusting to around 20 kt, with hazardous conditions possible
through the weekend.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1036 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

Moderate to breezy onshore winds (out of the southeast) will
maintain a high risk for rip currents through at least Thursday, and
likely lingering into the end of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            82  73  83  71 /   0   0  10  10
West Kendall     84  70  86  68 /   0   0  10  10
Opa-Locka        84  71  85  70 /   0   0  10  10
Homestead        82  73  84  70 /   0   0  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  80  72  82  70 /   0   0  10  10
N Ft Lauderdale  81  72  83  70 /   0   0  10  10
Pembroke Pines   85  73  87  71 /   0   0  10  10
West Palm Beach  82  71  84  69 /   0   0  10  20
Boca Raton       82  71  84  70 /   0   0  10  20
Naples           83  70  84  69 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SRB
LONG TERM....Redman
AVIATION...SRB