Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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370
FXUS62 KMFL 212309
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
609 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1232 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

The first of two cold fronts has made its way across our region
today, ushering in sunny skies and cooler conditions. Deep layered
dry air was already evident in the 12Z MFL sounding and ACARS
soundings from MIA, with PWATs rapidly dropping below 1 inch.

High temperatures won`t feel too cool today, ranging from the low
to mid 70s over the interior and SW FL, to the upper 70s in SE
FL. The start of the cooling trend will be more noticeable
tonight, as temperatures fall to the upper 40s around the interior
and Lake Okeechobee areas, with low to mid 50s elsewhere.

Friday will be another mostly sunny day with breezy northerly
winds, and high temperatures only climbing into the low 70s. The
second front will drop through the region tomorrow, ushering in
even cooler temperatures for the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 109 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

With high pressure to our north in control, dry and cool weather is
expected this weekend. Low temps Saturday and Sunday morning will be
in the middle 40s around the lake region, and low to mid 50s across
the metro. High temps on Saturday will be roughly 10 degrees below
normal, ranging from the upper 60s around the lake region to lower
70s closer to the coasts. As high pressure shifts to the east late
in the weekend into early next week, our flow will become easterly,
and therefore a slow moderating trend is expected into next week
with temps returning to normal, however the dry conditions are
expected to persist through at least the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

VFR through the 00Z TAF period. N/NW winds 5-10 kts overnight
becoming 10-15 kts with gusts around 20 kts after 14Z Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1232 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

Hazardous marine conditions will develop across all local waters
today as northerly winds increase to around 15-20 kts in the wake
of a cold front. Seas will build to 4 to 7 feet over the Gulf
waters, and 5 to 8 feet over the Atlantic waters. Conditions will
gradually improve by this weekend as the northerly winds lighten
and seas subside.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1232 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

A high rip current risk continues along the Gulf beaches today,
and will remain elevated on Friday. Along the Atlantic, there will
be a moderate rip current risk for the Palm Beaches today, which
will remain elevated on Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            55  72  53  72 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     51  74  49  72 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        54  73  52  72 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        54  74  52  72 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  54  71  53  70 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  55  71  53  71 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   54  74  52  73 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  54  70  50  70 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       54  72  51  71 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           55  72  52  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ069.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for GMZ656-657.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for GMZ676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF