875
FXUS62 KMFL 031344
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
944 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 939 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

The 12Z KMFL sounding continues to show an abundance of dry air
across the mid to upper levels this morning with PWAT values of
1.22 inches. While this will be supportive of mostly dry
conditions throughout the day, a brief isolated shower or two
cannot be ruled out along the breeze over the Atlantic waters as
well as the east coast. Any shower that does develop will be short
lived and very low topped due to the dry air aloft. A tight
pressure gradient will also contribute to a rather strong
southeasterly wind flow today as winds could gust between 25 and
30 mph especially across the eastern half of the region. High
temperatures this afternoon will generally range from the mid 80s
across the east coast metro areas around 90 across interior
portions of Southwest Florida.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 158 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Mid-level ridging will remain in place over the Florida
peninsula today as surface high strengthens over the
western Atlantic. This will keep South Florida under fresh
to moderate easterly to southeasterly winds, while a fairly
dry air mass sets up aloft. As a result, sensible weather
will remain warm and dry through the short term period.
A few isolated showers could develop along the sea breeze
boundaries each day, but chances remain too low to be
mentionable (< 15%).

Temperatures will continue to rise each day, with highs
along the East Coast metro in the mid 80s, and in the
low 90s across southwest FL. Temperatures overnight
will also remain a few degrees above average, with lows
tonight in the low 70s across the East Coast, and upper 60s
inland.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 158 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Mostly rain-free and warm weather conditions will prevail
throughout the remainder of the week as strong mid-level
ridging remains in place over the area. High temperatures
each day will reach the mid 80s near the coasts, and could
potentially rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s across the interior.

Looking into the long term forecast for next week, a
mid-level low and deep trough will drop into the Great Lakes
region bringing a frontal boundary south towards our region.
As the cold front approaches, the high pressure will begin
to move into the western Atlantic and allow for our next
opportunity for wet weather and cooler temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Southeast winds will be rather strong today increasing to around
20 kts between 14 and 15z. These winds could gust between 25 and
30 kts across the east coast terminals this afternoon into this
evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 158 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Moderate to fresh southeasterly winds will continue to
produce hazardous boating conditions across the local
Atlantic waters through the end of the work week. Seas
across the Atlantic waters will range from 3 to 6 feet
tonight into Thursday. Conditions across the Gulf waters
will remain cautionary as winds remain below criteria,
with seas 2-4 feet.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 158 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Increasing onshore winds will result in a high risk for
rip currents along the Atlantic coastline through the end
of the workweek and into the upcoming weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            85  75  83  74 /  10  10   0   0
West Kendall     85  72  86  71 /  10  10   0   0
Opa-Locka        85  72  83  73 /  10  10   0   0
Homestead        85  75  84  74 /  10  10   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  85  74  82  74 /  10  10   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  85  74  83  74 /  10  10  10   0
Pembroke Pines   85  75  83  74 /  10  10   0   0
West Palm Beach  85  72  83  73 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       84  73  81  73 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           88  70  89  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for AMZ630-650-651-
     670-671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION/UPDATE...CWC