622
FXUS62 KMFL 052245
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
545 PM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 544 PM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

  - Areas of dense fog possible interior and SW Florida early
    Tuesday morning.

  - Gradual warming trend continues this week.

  - Little to no rain expected.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 234 PM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

Tranquil and mainly sunny conditions prevail across South Florida
through the rest of this super Monday. Patchy fog remains a
possibility early Tuesday morning, mainly for interior South
Florida and areas around Lake Okeechobee. Latest HREF guidance
continues to hold at 40-60% probabilities of seeing half-mile or
less visibility. No significant changes to the forecast with this
afternoon forecast update.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1235 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

A tranquil weather pattern sets up early this week in the wake of
the previous front yesterday. A mid-level and upper-level ridge will
form over the area and overspread the Florida Peninsula for at least
the next few days while surface high pressure sits over the western
Atlantic. The end result of this will be gradually warming
temperatures and dry weather conditions for today and tomorrow,
which are expected to generally be in the low 80s across the region.

The only mentionable item will be the potential for areas of fog to
develop, mainly over interior and Southwest Florida early this
morning and again Monday night. Dew points have climbed back into
the low to mid 60s and will remain that way since the flow pattern
is extremely weak. With high pressure dominance creating a scenario
suitable for mostly clear skies and light winds each night, there
will be potential for patchy to dense fog development. Latest HREF
guidance gives a 40-60% chance for interior and Southwest Florida to
see fog development that results in visibilities falling to a half
mile or less. Most likely time to see fog will be after 3 AM until
about 9 AM both today and again tomorrow. Short-range ensembles
highlight that fog tomorrow morning could even get closer to the
east coast metro areas, so this will be something to monitor.
Otherwise, besides this fog development in the late night hours, an
extremely quiet weather pattern will be in place.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 1235 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

A stagnant weather pattern looks to persist through the rest of the
week and into this next weekend as the ridging pattern continues to
amplify and prevent frontal boundaries from pushing southwards and
into the South Florida region. As a result, quiet weather will be
ongoing through most if not all of the next six to seven days. Just
enough low level moisture may stick around to provide low chances of
a few isolated showers along the weak sea breezes each day, but
overall the chances even for these brief weak showers are very low.

High temperatures each day continue to rebound slowly with
temperatures settling into the low to mid 80s for the middle to end
of this week and the weekend. Overnight lows will fall to the upper
50s and low 60s for interior and SW Florida each night, with east
coast metro areas expected to see lows in the mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 PM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the period. Light and variable flow
overnight will become easterly by early Tuesday afternoon. A gulf
breeze is possible at APF during the afternoon hours as well.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 AM EST Mon Jan 5 2026

Light to gentle winds across the local waters for the next several
days as high pressure builds over the area. Seas are expected at 2-4
feet in the Atlantic early this week with Gulf seas at 2 feet or
less.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            64  80  64  80 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     59  81  59  82 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        63  81  64  82 /   0  10   0   0
Homestead        62  81  63  81 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  64  78  64  79 /   0  10   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  64  79  64  80 /   0  10   0   0
Pembroke Pines   62  81  62  81 /   0  10   0   0
West Palm Beach  64  80  62  80 /  10  10   0   0
Boca Raton       64  80  64  81 /  10  10   0   0
Naples           60  79  60  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Redman
LONG TERM....Redman
AVIATION...Rizzuto