699
FXUS62 KMFL 052344
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
644 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 637 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

No major updates this evening other than to increase the fog
potential which now means more mentions of patches and areas of
fog in more areas. Latest probabilistic guidance has between 30
and 60 percent chance of dense fog (.25 mile or less) tonight into
Thursday morning across much of Southwest Florida and inland South
Florida. Will allow the next shift to monitor observed trends in
case a Dense Fog Advisory becomes necessary. So far, no Gulf fog
bank is observable on satellite imagery. Otherwise, no other major
updates are anticipated through the evening. Have a wonderful
Wednesday night!

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1217 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Mid-level ridging over the western Caribbean and surface high over
the Gulf states will promote mostly dry and pleasant weather
conditions across South Florida through the short term. Light
easterly/southeasterly flow will help keep dewpoints in the upper
60s/lower 70s, making for warm temperatures each afternoon. Highs
will reach the mid 80s across southwest FL, while the moderating
influence of the light sea breeze will help keep temperatures along
the East Coast in the low 80s.

The available low-level moisture will again open the door to areas
of patchy fog developing overnight into Thursday morning, but
model probabilities show a low chance for dense fog (< 20% chance)
compared to what has been seen over the last several days.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 121 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

The long range models continue to show a ridge of high pressure
over the Western Atlantic waters extending westward into South
Florida through early next week. This pattern will block any
fronts frontal boundaries or shortwave energy well off to the
north resulting in mainly dry conditions through early next week.

This pattern will also keep an light to moderate easterly wind
flow over South Florida through early next week which in turn will
focus the warmest temperatures over the western areas of South
Florida. Highs each day will be in the lower to mid 80s over most
areas, except around 80 each coast areas. Heat indices could get
up to around 90 over the western interior areas late this weekend
into early next week. Lows will be in the 60s over most areas
each night, except around 70 east coast metro areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Generally VFR but some sub-VFR low cigs/vsbys could impact fog-
prone terminals like APF and possibly TMB late overnight into
early morning. Conditions will improve as the SE wind builds. APF
could see an onshore flow with a Gulf sea breeze late morning into
the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1217 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

East Southeast winds will remain gentle through rest of this week
as high pressure builds into the western Atlantic. Seas across
the Atlantic and Gulf waters will generally remain at 2 feet or
less. Sea fog could develop across the Gulf waters once again
overnight, but chances look lower than the past couple of nights.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1217 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Evaluated risk of rip currents will remain in place along the
Atlantic coast for the remainder of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            68  80  67  80 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     65  82  64  82 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        66  81  65  82 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        68  80  67  81 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  68  78  67  79 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  68  79  66  80 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   68  82  67  84 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  66  79  64  80 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       67  80  65  80 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           63  80  62  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....BNB
AVIATION...RAG