103
FXUS62 KMFL 221814
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
114 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

...New FIRE WEATHER...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1245 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

A secondary cold front moving through South Florida early this
afternoon will continue to move Southward and into the Florida
Keys tonight. This front will continue to bring in drier and
colder weather to South Florida tonight into Saturday.

Lows tonight is forecast to fall down into the 40s over the
northern interior areas to lower 50s over the southern interior
areas. Lows along the east coast will get down to around 50 except
for Miami-Dade and Coastal Broward Counties where the lows should
fall down into the lower to mid 50s. The west coast metro areas
will see the lows get down to around 50. Highs on Saturday will
struggle to get up to around 70 over most areas except upper 60s
around Lake Okeechobee due to the very dry air in place.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 109 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Dry conditions continue for the end of the weekend and through next
week. High pressure over northern FL on Sunday will shift and settle
into the western Atlantic next week resulting in a slow warming
trend. Below normal temps expected on Sunday with highs in the 70s
and then as the low level flow becomes more easterly next week,
temps will rebound to normal or slightly above normal. This will
result in afternoon highs each day in the low to mid 80s and
overnight lows in the 50s/60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Winds will remain northwest around 10 to 15 knots this afternoon
before decreasing to 5 knots or less tonight. VFR conditions at
all of the TAF sites through tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

The winds will remain north to northwest at 15 to 20 knots this
afternoon into tonight before slowly decreasing on Saturday to 10
to 15 knots. The winds will then continue to slowly decrease to 5
to 10 knots by early next week while swinging to a north northeast
direction.

Atlantic seas of 5 to 7 feet this afternoon will slowly subside
to tonight and be at 4 to 6 feet by Saturday. The Atlantic seas
will continue to subside late this weekend and by early next week
be at 2 feet or less. The Gulf seas will slowly subside from 3 to
5 feet this afternoon to 2 feet or less by late this weekend.
Therefore, the SCA will continue for the Atlantic seas through
tonight.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1245 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

A moderate risk of rip currents will continue across all South
Florida beaches through early part of this weekend before
decreasing late this weekend into early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 109 PM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

The relative humidity this afternoon will be in the lower to mid
30s over the east coast metro areas with 20 foot winds around 15
mph. However, the SFP (Significant Fire Potential) will be little
to no risk.

On Saturday, the relative humidity will be lower over South
Florida in the upper 20s to lower 30s. However, the 20 foot winds
will be less than 15 mph over South Florida along with low
category in the SFP. Therefore, NO fire weather headlines will be
needed at this time for South Florida.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            53  73  58  77 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     53  73  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        52  73  56  78 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        51  73  56  77 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  52  72  58  77 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  52  71  58  77 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   52  72  56  80 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  49  70  56  77 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       50  71  57  77 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           51  71  51  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Saturday for AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BNB
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...BNB