360
FXUS62 KMFL 030514
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1214 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1210 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

    - A few showers will be possible today, especially along the
      immediate east coast.

    - High Rip Current Risk along Atlantic beaches this week.

    - Hazardous conditions for small craft across Atlantic waters.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1210 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Residual moisture from a lingering frontal boundary remains
established over the region, as high pressure becomes established
over the eastern CONUS. This will lead to a continuation of the
northeasterly flow across the area. With residual moisture in place
and breezy northeasterly flow, quick moving coastal showers will be
possible throughout the short term. Highest rain chances will remain
along the immediate east coast, however a few showers may reach
Southwest Florida as well. With lack of significant synoptic
forcing, thunderstorm activity should remain minimal however a few
isolated thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out, especially
over the warm gulfstream waters.

High temperatures will reach the low to mid 80s today and tomorrow
with overnight lows in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 1210 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

The pattern through the long term period remains largely unchanged
each day. Breezy east-northeast flow continues through the majority
of the week as the surface pressure gradient remains tight. There
will be a chance (20-30%) for showers each day through the period as
modest moisture remains (PWATs 1.2-1.3 inches) with highest chances
across local Atlantic waters and along the immediate east coast.
Surface flow veers more easterly towards the end of the week and
into the weekend as surface high pressure across the western
Atlantic builds westward.

High temperatures should remain in the low 80s for east coast metro
areas, however due to the easterly flow, a warming trend is expected
for interior and Southwest Florida and highs could approach the
upper 80s to low 90s by the middle of the work-week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

VFR prevails through the period with breezy easterly flow. Slight
chance for a stray shower although not nearly impactful or high
enough confidence to include in TAF.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1210 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Expect a scattering of showers and isolated thunderstorms each day
and night over local waters. High pressure expanding across the
Southeast will lead to a strong easterly regime through most of
this week. Fresh easterly winds between 17-20 knots could be
expected throughout the week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1210 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2026

Increasing northeasterly flow will lead to a high risk of rip
currents for all Southeast Florida beaches.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            80  70  81  71 /  20  20  20  20
West Kendall     83  67  83  68 /  20  20  30  20
Opa-Locka        82  70  83  70 /  20  20  20  20
Homestead        82  70  83  71 /  20  20  30  20
Fort Lauderdale  79  70  80  71 /  20  20  20  20
N Ft Lauderdale  79  70  80  71 /  20  20  20  20
Pembroke Pines   83  70  83  71 /  20  20  20  20
West Palm Beach  80  69  81  70 /  20  20  20  20
Boca Raton       80  69  81  70 /  20  20  20  20
Naples           85  67  85  68 /  20  20  50  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99