Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
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033 FXUS62 KMFL 242317 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 617 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1230 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024 High pressure will continue to build across the Florida peninsula today. Winds will become more easterly as this happens, ushering in a warmer, relatively moister airmass over the region. This will kick off a gradual warming trend for South Florida, with high temperatures reaching the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region Sunday and Monday afternoon. Temperatures overnight will also begin to gradually increase, with lows dropping to the lower 60s (lower 50s) along the East Coast (interior) tonight, and the upper 60s (upper 50s) tomorrow. Rain chances will remain non-existent through the period. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 210 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024 Models show prevailing dry and benign weather conditions for most of the work week with strong high pressure dominating the SE CONUS and the western Atlantic. A slow warming trend is establishing across SoFlo early next week. Northerly flow expected to return by mid week as easterly wind establishes, bringing temperatures back to near or just above normals. Expect afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s, while morning lows remain around the mid 50s to low 60s. Latest long-range solutions suggest a deep trough/low complex sweeping across the E CONUS to end the work week. A couple of frontal passages may follow, which may move across the Florida peninsula during the weekend. However, although there might be an increased chance for a few showers ahead of these FROPAS, models in general remain fairly dry, with the potential issue being a return to cooler than normal temperatures for the later portion of the long term. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 615 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024 Light and variable flow expected overnight with easterly flow returning during the early afternoon. VFR prevails through the period with no precipitation expected. && .MARINE... Issued at 1230 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024 Generally fair marine conditions through early in the week with east- northeast flow around 5-10 knots across the local waters. Seas will range from 2 to 4 feet across the Atlantic waters, and 2 feet or less over the Gulf waters. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1230 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024 A moderate risk of rip currents will remain in place across the Palm Beach county coastline through the short term due to the lingering effects of a northerly swell. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 65 80 69 82 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 60 82 65 83 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 63 81 66 83 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 64 80 67 82 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 65 79 69 81 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 65 79 68 81 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 64 82 67 84 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 63 78 65 81 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 65 80 67 82 / 0 0 0 0 Naples 58 80 62 81 / 0 0 0 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...ATV LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...Rizzuto