Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
416
FNUS74 KMEG 181446
FWSMEG
Spot Forecast for Tombigbee IU 3-1...Forest Service
National Weather Service Memphis TN
846 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CST on February 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Minimal fire weather concerns expected through the period.
Extremely saturated soils and wintry precipitation will curb any
issues, but northerly winds will be elevated and gusty at times
through the period.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Dewpoint............30.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).600-3000 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...183-914 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second.
2000 ft winds.......East 8 to 10 mph increasing to around 14 mph
late in the afternoon.
5000 ft winds.......East 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62 57 70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 10
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10
Chc of thdr (%).M M M
Temp............48 48 47
Dewpoint........30 30 30
RH..............49 49 51
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.8 10 11
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.8 0.6
Mx ht msl (kft).3.0 2.8 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.9 0.9 0.2
Transp wind dir.E E NE
Transp wind spd.9 10 9
Trans wind dir..E E NE
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4
2000 ft wnd dir.E E E
2000 ft wnd spd.8 10 14
5000 ft wnd dir.E E E
5000 ft wnd spd.6 7 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 4 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain, light
freezing rain, snow and slight chance of light
sleet overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent overnight,
then increasing to 80 percent overnight
increasing to 90 percent overnight decreasing
to 80 percent decreasing to 60 percent after 3
am decreasing to 30 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............29.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
early in the evening then 23 mph in the late
evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-1800 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 18 mph increasing to 18 to 21
mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 6 to 9 meters/second.
2000 ft winds.......Northeast 15 to 16 mph increasing to north 20
to 22 mph overnight.
5000 ft winds.......Southeast 10 to 14 mph shifting to the south
around 8 mph overnight, then shifting to the
west 2 to 5 mph overnight shifting to the north
around 8 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.09 inches.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74 69 80 89 85 90 91 94 91 95 94 89
Weather cov..... CHC DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC
Weather type.... RN RN ZRS ZRS SN ZRS
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 40 80 90 80 60 30
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 40 80 90 80 60 30
Chc of thdr (%).M M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............44 43 41 40 38 36 34 32 31 30 30 28
Dewpoint........31 31 30 29 28 28 27 27 27 27 27 27
RH..............60 62 65 64 67 72 75 82 85 88 88 96
20 FT wind dir..NE NE N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 9
20 FT wind gust.13 14 16 14 16 16 17 16 17 18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.3
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N NE
Transp wind spd.10 13 13 15 17 18 20 20 21 21 20 18
Trans wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N NE
Trans spd (m/s).4 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8
2000 ft wnd dir.E E E E E NE NE NE N N N NE
2000 ft wnd spd.16 16 16 16 15 15 15 16 20 22 22 22
5000 ft wnd dir.E SE SE SE SE SE SE S W W NW N
5000 ft wnd spd.10 13 14 14 14 13 12 8 5 2 5 8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 3
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
light freezing rain and snow early in the
morning.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Max temperature.....Around 36.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Dewpoint............24 decreasing to 21 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 9 mph with gusts to around 18
mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).1300-2900 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...396-884 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 17 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North around 8 meters/second.
2000 ft winds.......North 18 to 22 mph.
5000 ft winds.......North 12 to 16 mph increasing to northwest
around 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........93 88 70 45
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....ZRN/SN NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).20 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).M M M M
Temp............28 28 34 35
Dewpoint........26 25 25 23
RH..............92 88 69 61
20 FT wind......N 8G17 N 7G17 N 7G16 N 7G17
Mix hgt (ft)....1300 1700 2200 2900
Mx ht msl (ft)..1300 1700 2200 2900
Mix hgt (m).....400 520 670 880
Transport wind..NE 17 N 18 N 18 N 17
Tran wind (m/s).NE 8 N 8 N 8 N 8
2000 ft wind....NE 22 N 22 N 18 N 18
5000 ft wind....N 12 N 17 N 20 NW 18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 4 5 7
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR
$$
Forecaster...Sniezak
Requested by...John Townsend
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503168.0/MEG
.DELDT 02/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL msmic@firenet.gov,john.townsend@usda.gov