Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Versions:
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826
FNUS74 KMEG 281523
FWSMEG
Spot Forecast for Jones Rx...Tennessee Division of Forestry
National Weather Service Memphis TN
923 AM CST Tue Jan 28 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on January 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Morning inversion will be strong around 600 ft, rising up to
above 2000 ft by noon. 20ft winds are forecast to be out of the
southwest around 10 knots through the day. Relative humidity
percentage values will start out in the 60s steadily falling into
the 30s this afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Dewpoint............30.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).600-2800 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...183-853 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 6 to 9 meters/second.
2000 ft winds.......West 15 to 18 mph increasing to southwest 21 to
23 mph late in the afternoon.
5000 ft winds.......West 23 to 26 mph increasing to 28 to 29 mph
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............39 45 49 53 54 56 56 55 52
Dewpoint........28 28 29 29 30 30 30 31 32
RH..............64 51 46 39 40 37 37 40 46
20 FT wind dir..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 7 7 7 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.10 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.0 0.6
Mx ht msl (kft).0.6 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.0 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.13 15 15 16 17 20 21 18 14
Trans wind dir..W W W W W W SW SW SW
Trans spd (m/s).6 7 7 7 8 9 9 8 6
2000 ft wnd dir.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
2000 ft wnd spd.17 16 15 15 15 16 18 21 23
5000 ft wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W
5000 ft wnd spd.23 23 24 24 25 26 28 29 29
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 2 4 5 6 7 8 5 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Dewpoint............33.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-500 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 6 to 8 meters/second.
2000 ft winds.......Southwest 26 to 29 mph increasing to west 31 to
35 mph early in the evening, then decreasing to
28 to 30 mph after 3 am.
5000 ft winds.......West 30 to 33 mph shifting to the northwest 30
to 31 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3 4 4 5 5 8 9 33 37 23 19 17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49 45 44 43 42 42 41 40 39 38 37 37
Dewpoint........33 33 35 35 35 35 35 34 34 33 33 32
RH..............54 63 70 73 76 76 79 79 82 82 85 82
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5
20 FT wind gust.12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.14 16 17 18 18 17 17 16 16 15 15 14
Trans wind dir..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
Trans spd (m/s).6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6
2000 ft wnd dir.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
2000 ft wnd spd.26 29 32 35 35 35 33 32 31 30 29 28
5000 ft wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W W W NW
5000 ft wnd spd.30 31 33 33 35 36 35 35 33 32 31 30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............34 increasing to 37 late in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the morning and
early afternoon becoming light.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-2400 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-732 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
7 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West around 6 meters/second shifting to the
northwest 2 to 3 meters/second late in the
afternoon.
2000 ft winds.......West 21 to 25 mph becoming northwest 5 to 7
mph.
5000 ft winds.......Northwest 25 to 28 mph decreasing to 9 to 10
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22 16 28 42 38 33 28 32 37 41 44 46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............36 35 38 44 48 52 55 56 57 58 56 53
Dewpoint........32 32 33 35 36 37 37 37 37 37 37 37
RH..............85 89 82 70 63 55 51 49 47 45 49 54
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 6 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 1.7 1.0
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 1.7 1.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW N
Transp wind spd.14 13 12 10 9 9 9 7 7 7 6 5
Trans wind dir..W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW N
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2
2000 ft wnd dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
2000 ft wnd spd.25 21 17 14 12 9 8 7 6 5 5 5
5000 ft wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
5000 ft wnd spd.28 25 23 21 20 17 16 15 13 10 10 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...Bruss
Requested by...James Moore, Burn Boss
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501561.0/MEG
.DELDT 01/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.edward.moore@tn.gov