Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
795
FNUS74 KMEG 171224
FWSMEG
Spot Forecast for Chickasaw Village...National Park Service
National Weather Service Memphis TN
624 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions expected through the daytime with minRH values
falling to between 20 to 25% by the afternoon. Southeasterly 20kft
winds will increase to around 5 to 6 kts over the next few hours.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Dewpoint............30 increasing to 33 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph early
in the morning.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-2600 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-792 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to
10 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second shifting to the
southeast late in the afternoon.
2000 ft winds.......East 12 to 16 mph becoming southeast 8 to 10
mph in the afternoon, then increasing to around
13 mph late in the afternoon.
5000 ft winds.......East 7 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 7 to
9 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
south late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 27 24 45 42 22 31 26 27 26 28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............44 49 55 61 66 69 69 71 70 69 66
Dewpoint........31 32 30 30 29 28 31 31 31 33 34
RH..............60 52 38 31 25 21 24 23 23 26 30
20 FT wind dir..NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.7 8 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.6 1.9 0.8 0.4
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.6 1.9 0.8 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 9 8 8
Trans wind dir..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
2000 ft wnd dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
2000 ft wnd spd.16 16 15 13 12 9 8 8 8 10 13
5000 ft wnd dir.NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S
5000 ft wnd spd.10 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 9 12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 2 1 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Dewpoint............38 increasing to 41 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph shifting to the south
around 15 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 7 meters/second shifting to the
south around 7 meters/second early in the
morning.
2000 ft winds.......Southeast 15 to 18 mph increasing to south
around 25 mph.
5000 ft winds.......South 13 to 16 mph increasing to 23 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22 26 25 21 4 16 28 42 34 35 39 36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............62 60 58 57 56 56 55 55 56 55 56 55
Dewpoint........36 36 37 37 37 36 36 36 37 37 40 41
RH..............38 41 45 47 49 47 49 49 49 51 55 59
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.10 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.9 10 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 14 15
Trans wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 7
2000 ft wnd dir.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
2000 ft wnd spd.15 16 17 18 20 21 22 23 23 24 25 25
5000 ft wnd dir.S S S S S S S S S S S SW
5000 ft wnd spd.13 14 14 15 16 18 20 21 23 24 25 26
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Dewpoint............44 increasing to 61.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-2700 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-823 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 9 meters/second.
2000 ft winds.......South 21 to 25 mph decreasing to 18 to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
5000 ft winds.......Southwest 24 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47 19 27 34 38 41 45 43 41 39 35 32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............55 57 61 65 69 74 77 79 80 79 78 76
Dewpoint........43 45 49 54 57 60 61 61 61 61 61 62
RH..............64 64 65 68 66 62 58 54 52 54 56 62
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW S
20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 8
20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.4 1.8 1.0
Mx ht msl (kft).0.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.4 1.8 1.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 14 16 17 20 20 20 20 20 20 17 15
Trans wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).7 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7
2000 ft wnd dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
2000 ft wnd spd.25 25 25 24 23 22 21 20 18 18 18 20
5000 ft wnd dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
5000 ft wnd spd.26 26 26 26 26 26 26 25 24 24 24 25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 7 6 4 2
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...CMA
Requested by...Robert vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526089.0/MEG
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert_vick@nps.gov