Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
459
FNUS54 KMEG 150720
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
220 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Saturated soils from previous days of rainfall combined with RHs
above 50% will limit fire danger through the period. Wetting rain
chances return late tonight and will be possible through Saturday
morning.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-152115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
220 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 10 60 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.16
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 86 (+5) 70 (0) 87
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-15) 94 (+9) 60
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 12 G23 S 9 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 14 G23 SW 8 G21 SW 15 G24
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3200 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 SW 15
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 SW 35
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 18000
Category Day 4 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 13 SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 30 SW 27
Dispersion Index 56 14 79
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-152115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
220 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 30
Precip Chance (%) 10 50 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+3) 72 (+2) 87
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-8) 93 (+9) 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 11 G23 S 8 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 13 G23 S 6 G18 S 11 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2700 4600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 4800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 SW 14
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 25 SW 32
Vent Index (m2/s) 9900 21000
Category Day 4 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 13 SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 29 SW 26
Dispersion Index 59 17 77
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy.
Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-152115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
220 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 20 60 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.27 0.19
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+6) 70 (+2) 86
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-13) 94 (+11) 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G22 SW 8 G20
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 12 G23 SW 7 G21 S 11 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3300 3700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 SW 14
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 SW 31
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 15400
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 11 SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 25 SW 26
Dispersion Index 52 15 59
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-152115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
220 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 30 40
Precip Chance (%) 10 30 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 86 (+4) 72 (+5) 87
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-7) 91 (+5) 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G23 SW 8 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 11 G23 SW 7 G19 S 11 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3300 4100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 SW 14
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 25 SW 31
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 16800
Category Day 4 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 12 SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 27 SW 25
Dispersion Index 53 19 61
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-152115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
220 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 10 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+2) 71 (+2) 89
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-3) 92 (+6) 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 10 G22 SW 9 G20
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 13 G24 S 7 G22 S 11 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 4100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3200 4300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 12 SW 13
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 SW 30
Vent Index (m2/s) 12000 16900
Category Day 4 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 12 SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 28 SW 28
Dispersion Index 60 20 61
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-152115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
220 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 10 20
Precip Type None None Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+4) 71 (+5) 88
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-1) 92 (+6) 55
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 G21 SW 6 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 11 G20 S 6 G20 S 8 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3400 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 SW 12
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 SW 26
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 14400
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 11 SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 24 SW 23
Dispersion Index 51 19 52
Stability Class B D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$