Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
624
FNUS54 KMEG 060831
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rains will keep fire concerns low through the middle of
the week with anywhere from 1 to 2 inches of rainfall expected
across much of the region with the potential for locally higher
rainfall totals.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-062100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 90 80 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.50 0.49 0.37
Precip Duration (hrs) 8 10 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-9) 67 (+2) 79
RH % (24h trend) 84 (+36) 100 (+1) 77
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 6 E 4 N 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1600 2600
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 N 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 2500 4800
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 6 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 14 NW 11
Dispersion Index 20 8 22
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 1 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-062100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 90 70 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.52 0.30 0.20
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 8 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 79 (-8) 69 (+2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+32) 100 (0) 72
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var NW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1600 2800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 N 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 2500 4500
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 8 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 17 NW 10
Dispersion Index 24 11 22
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 1 2 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-062100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 90 70 90
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.32 0.33 0.92
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 8 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 78 (-7) 66 (+3) 79
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+32) 100 (+1) 81
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 E 4 NW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 300 400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1100 1400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1500 1800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 N 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 3000 2500
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 W 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 17 W 16
Dispersion Index 28 10 20
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 1 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-062100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 90
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.33 0.16 0.39
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 5 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 78 (-7) 66 (+1) 80
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+29) 100 (0) 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 SE 4 W 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1500 2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1900 2400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 W 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 W 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 3600 3500
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 8 W 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 17 W 13
Dispersion Index 27 10 26
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 2 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-062100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.23 0.17 0.24
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 6 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-6) 67 (0) 85
RH % (24h trend) 77 (+29) 100 (0) 71
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 SE 5 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2100 2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 3000
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 7 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 NW 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 4900 4500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 8 W 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 18 W 9
Dispersion Index 33 12 24
Stability Class C F B
Stagnation Index 1 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-062100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 70 60 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.17 0.08 0.24
Precip Duration (hrs) 4 3 10
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 80 (-5) 67 (+1) 84
RH % (24h trend) 75 (+24) 100 (0) 68
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1900 2700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 3100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 7 SW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 SW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 4900 4500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 16 SW 11
Dispersion Index 33 10 28
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$