Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
361
FNUS54 KMEG 221922
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
222 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025

.DISCUSSION...

No major fire weather concerns for the foreseeable future. MinRH
values are expected to remain near to above 40% this afternoon and
again tomorrow. Rain chances will increase by Friday Night and
persist through the holiday weekend. Total rainfall amounts will
likely be in the 2 to 4 inch range.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-230915-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
222 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            50           50
Precip Chance (%)     10           10           70           70
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.66         0.74
Precip Duration (hrs)                           5            6
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-8)      74 (-4)      59           71
RH % (24h trend)      81 (-11)     40 (-4)      94           73
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 NE  4                     E  6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NW  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1200                      500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4000                      1600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1300                      600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4300                      1800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NE  2                     SE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  5                     SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2600                      3000
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              66                        64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  3                      SE 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E  7                      SE 23
Dispersion Index      12           19           19           24
Stability Class       E            B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-230915-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
222 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            50           50
Precip Chance (%)     30           10           50           70
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.27         0.60
Precip Duration (hrs) 0                         2            6
Precip Begin          7 PM                      7 PM         Continuing
Precip End            10 PM                     Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-4)      78 (-2)      61           79
RH % (24h trend)      84 (-7)      46 (-5)      91           71
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 NE  4                     SE  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  900                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3100                      1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1000                      600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3300                      2100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  3                      E  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  7                      E 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3000                      3000
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  6                      SE  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E 13                      SE 18
Dispersion Index      12           23           14           24
Stability Class       F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-230915-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
222 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           50
Precip Chance (%)                               50           70
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.50
Precip Duration (hrs)                           2            6
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      51 (-9)      75 (-2)      55           69
RH % (24h trend)      87 (-4)      39 (-2)      92           70
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   E  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1400                      300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4600                      1000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1500                      400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5000                      1400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  3                     SE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  6                     SE 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4500                      2400
Category Day                       3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              64                        62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N  2                      SE 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N  4                      SE 21
Dispersion Index      10           19           9            22
Stability Class       F            A            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-230915-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
222 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           50
Precip Chance (%)     10                        60           70
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.34         0.91
Precip Duration (hrs)                           2            8
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      54 (-8)      76 (-2)      56           73
RH % (24h trend)      83 (-13)     40 (-5)      93           72
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   E  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1100                      300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3800                      900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1300                      400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 4200                      1300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  3                      SE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  6                      SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3900                      2000
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              66                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  3                     SE  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  6                     SE 19
Dispersion Index      10           18           11           21
Stability Class       F            A            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-230915-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
222 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            20           50
Precip Chance (%)     20                        40           60
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.08         0.45
Precip Duration (hrs) 0                         1            6
Precip Begin          7 PM                      1 AM         Continuing
Precip End            10 PM                     Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-4)      82 (-1)      62           83
RH % (24h trend)      85 (-7)      46 (-2)      89           67
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 NE  4                     SE  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1000                      800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3300                      2500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1100                      800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3600                      2700
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NE  3                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  7                     SW 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3300                      4000
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  5                      SE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E 12                      SE 13
Dispersion Index      10           24           13           27
Stability Class       F            B            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-230915-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
222 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           50
Precip Chance (%)     10                        40           60
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.56
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            8
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-5)      81 (-1)      59           82
RH % (24h trend)      87 (-7)      42 (-4)      91           64
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SE  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  900                       500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3100                      1500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1100                      600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3500                      1900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  3                      SE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  6                      SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3300                      3000
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  4                     SE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  8                     SE 14
Dispersion Index      8            18           9            22
Stability Class       F            A            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$