Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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876
FNUS54 KMEG 170859
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
359 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and less humid conditions will prevail today over the
Midsouth. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will return tonight,
providing limited chances for wetting rainfall. Conditions will
remain unsettled early in the week, with periods of thunderstorms
expected from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday evening. Cooler and
drier conditions are forecast for Wednesday through Friday.


ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-172115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
359 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           50
Precip Chance (%)                  50           50
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.22         0.17
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            2
Precip Begin                       12 AM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      85 (0)       64 (-2)      83
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-30)     92 (+1)      59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  5                      E  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  6         Lgt/Var      SE  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1000                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3300                      3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1100                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    3500                      3700
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  6                      S  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14                      S  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     6600                      4400
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  5                      SE  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 12                      SE  9
Dispersion Index      27           8            20
Stability Class       B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-172115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
359 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           50
Precip Chance (%)                  60           60
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.09         0.19
Precip Duration (hrs)              2            6
Precip Begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+4)      68 (-1)      86
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-32)     96 (-2)      61
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1200                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3900                      3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1300                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4100                      3900
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  4                     S  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8                     S 10
Vent Index (m2/s)     5200                      6000
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  4                      S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W  9                      S  9
Dispersion Index      19           10           21
Stability Class       A            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-172115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
359 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            40
Precip Chance (%)                  30           40
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.12         0.41
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            2
Precip Begin                       3 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      85 (0)       62 (-4)      82
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-31)     91 (-6)      55
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  5                      Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  7         Lgt/Var      SE  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1000                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3400                      3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1200                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    3800                      3900
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  8                      SW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 18                      SW  7
Vent Index (m2/s)     9600                      3600
Category Day          4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  9                      SE  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 20                      SE  7
Dispersion Index      42           6            17
Stability Class       B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-172115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
359 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           50
Precip Chance (%)                  50           60
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.10         0.34
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            8
Precip Begin                       12 AM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      87 (+3)      64 (-3)      84
RH % (24h trend)      38 (-33)     97 (-2)      58
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    SW  4                     Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  5         Lgt/Var      S  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1100                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3600                      3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1200                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4000                      3800
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  6                      SW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14                      SW  8
Vent Index (m2/s)     7200                      4800
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  8                      S  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 19                      S  8
Dispersion Index      31           7            20
Stability Class       B            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-172115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
359 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           50
Precip Chance (%)                  50           60
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.14         0.10
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            6
Precip Begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+6)      68 (-2)      88
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-29)     98 (-1)      59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1200                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4100                      3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1300                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4300                      4100
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  4                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8                     SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s)     5200                      6000
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  6                     S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 13                     S 11
Dispersion Index      22           11           22
Stability Class       B            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-172115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
359 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            40           50
Precip Chance (%)     10           40           70
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.11         0.12
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            8
Precip Begin                       12 AM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+5)      66 (-3)      87
RH % (24h trend)      39 (-29)     98 (-2)      57
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1200                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4000                      3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1400                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4400                      4100
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  4                     SW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  9                     SW  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     5600                      4800
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  8                      SW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 18                      SW 10
Dispersion Index      23           8            26
Stability Class       B            E            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

PWB