Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
893
FNUS54 KMEG 170831
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Low fire danger is anticipated through the weekend as MinRH values
remain above 30 percent with light 20ft winds. Wetting rain
chances return Saturday ahead of a cold front. Behind this
boundary, MinRH will drop to around 30 percent.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-172100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)                               70
Precip Type           None         None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.27
Precip Duration (hrs)                           4
Precip Begin                                    7 AM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+1)      65 (+5)      85
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-5)      84 (-6)      49
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   S 10 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  5         S  4         SW 13 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1100                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3700                      4700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1200                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    3900                      5000
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  5                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 12                     SW 24
Vent Index (m2/s)     6000                      16500
Category Day          3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  5                      SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 12                      SW 24
Dispersion Index      22           11           66
Stability Class       C            F            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-172100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)                               50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.13
Precip Duration (hrs)                           2
Precip Begin                                    7 AM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      88 (+3)      66 (+5)      87
RH % (24h trend)      37 (-6)      89 (-3)      45
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   S  7 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  9 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1300                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4400                      5000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1400                      1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4600                      5200
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  5                      S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 10                      S 22
Vent Index (m2/s)     7000                      16000
Category Day          3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80                        79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  5                      SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 12                      SW 22
Dispersion Index      20           13           55
Stability Class       B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-172100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)                               50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+4)      61 (+4)      86
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-8)      90 (0)       45
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   S  9 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  4         Lgt/Var      SW 11 G21
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1100                      1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3600                      5400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1200                      1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    3900                      5800
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  4                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  8                     SW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)     4800                      18000
Category Day          3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  5                      SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 10                      SW 24
Dispersion Index      18           11           63
Stability Class       C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-172100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)                               40
Precip Type           None         None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+2)      62 (+5)      87
RH % (24h trend)      43 (-7)      90 (-2)      46
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   S  9 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  4         Lgt/Var      S 12 G21
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1200                      1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3800                      5500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1300                      1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4200                      5900
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  3                     S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7                     S 22
Vent Index (m2/s)     3900                      18000
Category Day          2                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78                        79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  5                      SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 10                      SW 23
Dispersion Index      18           10           56
Stability Class       C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
36 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-172100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Clear        Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)                               40
Precip Type           None         None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+2)      64 (+4)      88
RH % (24h trend)      36 (-3)      98 (+8)      46
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   S  8 G17
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 11 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1600                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    5100                      4900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1600                      1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    5300                      5100
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  4                     S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  9                     S 21
Vent Index (m2/s)     6400                      14400
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  5                      SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 10                      SW 19
Dispersion Index      21           13           53
Stability Class       B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-172100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)                               20
Precip Type           None         None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      87 (+2)      62 (+5)      87
RH % (24h trend)      38 (-3)      99 (+10)     45
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   S  6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 10 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1300                      1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4200                      5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1400                      1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4700                      5500
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  3                     S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7                     S 20
Vent Index (m2/s)     4200                      15300
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  4                      SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S  9                      SW 18
Dispersion Index      17           10           51
Stability Class       C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
33 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$