Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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453
FNUS54 KMEG 042031
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns will be low through the period as 20 ft
winds remain low and minimum relative humidity vales stay around
40 percent. Wetting rain chances (50%-70%) will increase Monday
and Tuesday with lower chances (20%-30%) Wednesday and Thursday.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-050900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            50
Precip Chance (%)                  10           20           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.31
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-2)      86 (+1)      65           81
RH % (24h trend)      91 (-4)      46 (+5)      100          69
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  5                     SE  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  5        SE  7        SE  5        SE  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1700                      600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5700                      1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1800                      600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 6000                      2100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  6                     SE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 13                     SE 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  10800                     3000
Category Day                       4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              78                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  6                     E  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 14                     E 10
Dispersion Index      10           33           12           21
Stability Class       F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-050900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            50
Precip Chance (%)                  10           20           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.24
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      61 (+2)      88 (+2)      68           82
RH % (24h trend)      89 (-5)      45 (+3)      100          70
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  4                     SE  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  4         SE  5        SE  4        SE  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1800                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6000                      2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1900                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 6200                      3100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  7                     SE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 15                     SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  13300                     4500
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              78                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  7                     E  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 15                     E  8
Dispersion Index      11           32           12           26
Stability Class       F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-050900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20
Precip Chance (%)                               20           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.18
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      57 (0)       86 (+1)      65           81
RH % (24h trend)      95 (-3)      45 (+6)      100          67
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  5                     SE  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SE  6        SE  4        SE  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1700                      600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5500                      2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1800                      700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5900                      2400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  6                     SE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 13                     SE 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  10800                     3500
Category Day                       4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  6                     SE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 14                     SE 14
Dispersion Index      10           37           13           27
Stability Class       F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-050900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           20
Precip Chance (%)                  10           20           50
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.15
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      58 (+2)      86 (+1)      66           81
RH % (24h trend)      97 (0)       47 (+8)      100          68
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  6                     SE  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  4         SE  7        SE  5        SE  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1600                      700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5400                      2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1800                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5800                      2800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  6                     SE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 14                     SE 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  10800                     5400
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  7                     SE  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 15                     SE 13
Dispersion Index      10           38           12           30
Stability Class       F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-050900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20
Precip Chance (%)                  10           20           50
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.19
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      61 (+3)      87 (+1)      66           83
RH % (24h trend)      93 (+1)      49 (+8)      100          69
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  6                     SE  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  5         SE  7        E  6         SE  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1700                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5600                      3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1800                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5800                      3200
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  7                      SE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 15                      SE 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  12600                     6000
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  7                     SE  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 16                     SE  8
Dispersion Index      11           38           12           30
Stability Class       F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-050900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            20
Precip Chance (%)                  10           20           40
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.07
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      60 (+3)      85 (+1)      66           81
RH % (24h trend)      97 (+3)      48 (+12)     100          67
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE  6                     SE  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  4         SE  8        E  5         SE  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1600                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5100                      2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1700                      1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5500                      3200
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  7                      SE  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 15                      SE 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11900                     6000
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              76                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  7                     SE  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 15                     SE 16
Dispersion Index      10           43           14           33
Stability Class       F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$