Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
598
FNUS54 KMEG 170931
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...

An increasingly wet and unsettled pattern will settle over the
Mid-South this week. Fire weather concerns will be minimal
through the period.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-172200-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           40           20
Precip Chance (%)     30           40           30
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            2            1
Precip Begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h trend)      66 (-1)      56 (+13)     79
RH % (24h trend)      28 (+2)      90 (+25)     61
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  6                      S 13 G23
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  8        SE  7 G17    SW 12 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1800                      2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     600                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2100                      3200
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  6                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE 14                     SW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)     3600                      11000
Category Day          2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 61                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  8                     SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 18                     SW 26
Dispersion Index      28           18           55
Stability Class       B            E            D
Stagnation Index      3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-172200-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0
Precip Chance (%)     30           10           10
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin          11 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      69 (-2)      58 (+11)     79
RH % (24h trend)      32 (-3)      98 (+34)     65
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  4                      S  9 G22
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  6        SE  6 G17    SW  9 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     400                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1400                      3100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     500                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    1600                      3300
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  6                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE 14                     SW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)     3000                      11000
Category Day          2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 65                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  8                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 18                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      29           16           58
Stability Class       C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-172200-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20
Precip Chance (%)     10           40           50
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.04
Precip Duration (hrs)              2            2
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      66 (0)       51 (+12)     76
RH % (24h trend)      25 (0)       74 (+4)      49
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  4                      S 11 G22
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  6        SE  6        SW 10 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     500                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1800                      1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     700                       700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2200                      2200
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  5                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)     3500                      7000
Category Day          2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 58                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  E  6                      SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  E 14                      SW 28
Dispersion Index      23           15           51
Stability Class       B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-172200-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20
Precip Chance (%)     10           20           30
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            1
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   12 PM
Temp (24h trend)      68 (-2)      52 (+11)     77
RH % (24h trend)      23 (-2)      81 (+11)     47
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  5                      S 11 G22
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  6        SE  6        SW 11 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1800                      2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     700                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2200                      3000
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  5                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE 12                     SW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)     3500                      9900
Category Day          2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 61                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  7                     SW 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 15                     SW 26
Dispersion Index      23           15           55
Stability Class       B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows around
60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 68 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-172200-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)     10           10           10
Precip Type           None         None         None
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend)      72 (-4)      57 (+10)     80
RH % (24h trend)      29 (-3)      96 (+34)     60
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  6                      S 10 G20
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  7        SE  6        SW 10 G21
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     500                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1700                      3100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     600                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2000                      3400
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  6                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE 14                     SW 24
Vent Index (m2/s)     3600                      11000
Category Day          2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 66                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  8                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 17                     SW 23
Dispersion Index      28           15           55
Stability Class       B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-172200-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)                               10
Precip Type           None         None         None
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-4)      53 (+9)      80
RH % (24h trend)      23 (-6)      80 (+12)     48
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  4                      S  9 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  5        SE  4        SW  9 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    2000                      2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     700                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2400                      3200
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  5                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE 10                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)     3500                      10000
Category Day          2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 62                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  E  6                      S  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  E 13                      S 21
Dispersion Index      22           12           47
Stability Class       B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$