Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
960
FNUS54 KMEG 220831
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain chances will tick upwards early this week with
widespread rainfall returning by the middle of this week with a
cold front. Drought-improving rainfall will occur in areas along
and north of the I-40 corridor. Conditions will trend cooler
behind the front late this week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-222100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 60 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.34 0.23 0.33
Precip Duration (hrs) 8 2 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 82 (-9) 67 (-2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+25) 100 (0) 75
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 8 S 4 SW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2300 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2500 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 5600 2400
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 W 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 16 W 12
Dispersion Index 33 10 20
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 1 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-222100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.12 0.17 0.32
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 2 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 87 (-6) 69 (0) 87
RH % (24h trend) 59 (+18) 100 (+1) 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var SW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3100 3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3300 3900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 7000 7200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 14
Dispersion Index 36 8 35
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-222100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 70 60 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.23 0.41 0.38
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 4 8
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 85 (-2) 64 (-3) 83
RH % (24h trend) 63 (+7) 100 (0) 69
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 S 4 SW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2500 2100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 2500
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 6300 4200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 14
Dispersion Index 35 8 26
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-222100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 60 60 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.14 0.30 0.47
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 88 (-4) 65 (-3) 85
RH % (24h trend) 56 (+12) 100 (+1) 65
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 S 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 S 4 SW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3200 2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3600 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 8800 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 W 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 15 W 14
Dispersion Index 44 8 35
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-222100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 30 40 50
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.06 0.08 0.14
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 90 (-2) 68 (+1) 89
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+4) 100 (+1) 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7 S 4 SW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4700 5000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5000 5200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 10500 9600
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82 83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 13
Dispersion Index 45 9 39
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-222100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.02 0.03 0.17
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 90 (-1) 66 (0) 89
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+1) 100 (+2) 52
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5400 4900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5800 5400
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 12600 9600
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 12
Dispersion Index 43 7 39
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$