Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
951
FNUS54 KMEG 152031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dangerous heat is forecast to continue through the period with
afternoon heat index values exceeding 110 F through Sunday
afternoon and up to 110 F on Monday. Fire dangers are still
expected to be low amidst minimum relative humidity values
between 30% and 40% with light 20ft winds. Expect dry conditions
with the potential for a couple, light showers across
northeastern AR, the MO Bootheel, and portions of West Tennessee
Sunday evening. Otherwise, precipitation-free conditions will
continue into the early portions of next week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-160900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 30
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration (hrs) 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+1) 102 (+2) 76 95
RH % (24h trend) 83 (-7) 38 (-1) 90 53
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 4 N 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 6 SW 4 N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2100 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7000 4100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2200 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7300 4300
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 N 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 5200
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 94 86
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 5 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 10 N 11
Dispersion Index 10 35 9 28
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-160900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+3) 102 (+2) 78 100
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-2) 36 (-3) 78 42
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2300 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7400 4800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2300 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7600 5000
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 6 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 13800 7500
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 94 92
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 6 NW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 13 NW 12
Dispersion Index 9 39 10 29
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 101. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-160900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-2) 100 (+2) 75 94
RH % (24h trend) 83 (-11) 40 (0) 89 56
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var NW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6200 3800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6600 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 NW 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 10000 6500
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 92 87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 5 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 10 NW 11
Dispersion Index 9 34 9 27
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-160900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 74 (0) 100 (+1) 76 97
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-12) 39 (0) 82 49
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var NW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2200 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7100 4300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2300 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7500 4700
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 6 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 13800 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 92 90
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 4 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 10 NW 10
Dispersion Index 8 36 9 29
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows around
70. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-160900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+3) 100 (+1) 79 100
RH % (24h trend) 81 (-9) 39 (0) 74 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 Lgt/Var NW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2300 2000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7500 6600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2300 2100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7700 6900
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 NW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 11500 10500
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 93 96
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 5 W 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 12 W 13
Dispersion Index 9 36 9 32
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 100. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-160900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 74 (+1) 100 (+1) 78 99
RH % (24h trend) 83 (-12) 38 (0) 77 40
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var W 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2200 2100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7300 7000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2400 2300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7700 7400
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 NW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 12000 11500
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 92 95
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 4 W 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 9 W 14
Dispersion Index 7 35 9 34
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$