Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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863
FNUS54 KMEG 032006
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
306 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Record rainfall is expected over the next several days. Extremely
saturated soils and vegetation will keep fire weather concerns to
a minimal.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-040930-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
306 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70           70           70           50
Precip Chance (%)     100          80           90           100
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.92         0.44         1.65         3.37
Precip Duration (hrs) 11           8            10           12
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-8)      81 (+13)     61           72
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     67 (-10)     100          77
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 E  7 G17                  S 11 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE 10 G20    S 11 G21     S 13 G24     SE 14 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2100                      1100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2400                      1400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  9                      N  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 21                      N 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6300                      3200
Category Day                       3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  7                     E  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 15                     E 21
Dispersion Index      28           25           23           29
Stability Class       D            C            D            D
Stagnation Index                   2                         1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-040930-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
306 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           50           50
Precip Chance (%)     90           60           70           100
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.98         0.16         0.82         2.92
Precip Duration (hrs) 6            5            6            12
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      58 (-2)      83 (+10)     66           77
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      65 (-14)     99           79
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  7 G19                  S  9 G23
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    E  7         S 11 G21     S 12 G23     S 12 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1000                      600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3300                      2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1100                      700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3500                      2200
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 26                      S 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  13200                     7000
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  9                      S 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 21                      S 24
Dispersion Index      16           66           36           48
Stability Class       D            B            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-040930-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
306 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 100          50           50           50
Precip Chance (%)     100          70           60           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         1.42         0.32         0.73         2.22
Precip Duration (hrs) 9            5            5            10
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      57 (-4)      83 (+13)     64           79
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     60 (-18)     95           63
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  6                      S 10 G20
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  6        S  9 G19     S 10 G23     S 11 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  800                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2800                      1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1000                      700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3200                      2300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 11                      S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 24                      S 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11000                     5600
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              76                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  9                      S  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 20                      S 21
Dispersion Index      16           53           29           36
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-040930-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
306 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           50           50
Precip Chance (%)     90           50           50           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         1.35         0.14         0.32         1.78
Precip Duration (hrs) 5            2            2            6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-1)      84 (+9)      67           81
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     58 (-16)     96           59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  7 G17                  S 10 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE  6        S 11 G20     S 11 G23     S 13 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1000                      700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3200                      2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1100                      800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3600                      2700
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 11                      S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 25                      S 24
Vent Index (m2/s)                  12100                     8800
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 10                      S 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 22                      S 24
Dispersion Index      13           68           33           56
Stability Class       D            B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-040930-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
306 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           50           50
Precip Chance (%)     70           40           50           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.62         0.11         0.11         1.70
Precip Duration (hrs) 3            1            2            6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      64 (-1)      84 (+4)      69           82
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+5)     60 (-14)     95           67
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  8 G20                  S 10 G23
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  7 G19     S 11 G22     S 11 G24     S 13 G25
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1000                      800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3200                      2700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1000                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3400                      3000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 11                      S 12
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 25                      S 28
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11000                     10800
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 10                      S 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 22                      S 24
Dispersion Index      16           66           34           64
Stability Class       E            B            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-040930-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
306 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           20           20           20
Precip Chance (%)     50           40           20           70
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.25         0.06         0.01         0.72
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            1            2            5
Precip Begin          6 PM         12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      66 (-5)      85 (+3)      68           84
RH % (24h trend)      98 (+10)     53 (-9)      92           57
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S  7 G18                  S  9 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S  7 G19     S 10 G20     S  9 G21     S 12 G23
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  900                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3000                      2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1000                      900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 3400                      3000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 11                      S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 24                      S 25
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11000                     9900
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              75                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  9                      S  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 19                      S 21
Dispersion Index      25           58           29           58
Stability Class       E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$