Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
995
FNUS54 KMEG 032031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Light 20ft winds combined with elevated forecast fuel moisture
keeps fire weather concerns low. Most of the area will have
minimum RH values above 35%, but a few areas along the
Mississippi River will hover around 30%. Wetting rain chances
increase early next week keeping a persistent minimal fire danger
concern.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-040900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-5) 85 (-1) 58 87
RH % (24h trend) 97 (+6) 36 (-4) 88 45
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 SE 6 SE 4 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6000 5700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6200 5900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 9500 9000
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 5 SE 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 11 SE 14
Dispersion Index 7 28 10 31
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-040900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-4) 87 (+1) 61 88
RH % (24h trend) 92 (+2) 35 (-1) 85 45
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6300 5400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6500 5600
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 10000 8500
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 5 SE 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 11 SE 14
Dispersion Index 8 28 10 32
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-040900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-8) 85 (0) 57 86
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+6) 36 (-5) 93 44
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5500 5600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5900 6000
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 9000 9000
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 4 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 10 SE 15
Dispersion Index 6 28 9 34
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-040900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-7) 85 (0) 59 87
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+7) 35 (-6) 93 46
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 E 4 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5600 5300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6000 5700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 5 SE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 SE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 9000 10200
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 5 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 11 SE 15
Dispersion Index 7 28 10 35
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-040900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-6) 87 (+2) 61 87
RH % (24h trend) 94 (+8) 34 (-3) 90 48
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 E 6 E 4 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6100 5400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6400 5600
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 SE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) E 12 SE 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 9500 10200
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 5 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 11 SE 15
Dispersion Index 9 31 11 37
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-040900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-4) 84 (0) 61 86
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+6) 31 (-9) 91 48
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 E 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 E 6 E 4 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5300 4600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5700 5000
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 SE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) E 13 SE 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 10200 9000
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 4 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 10 SE 15
Dispersion Index 8 31 10 43
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$