Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
023
FNUS54 KMEG 220831
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Near normal temperatures with below normal humidity will persist
through the weekend. A cold front will push through the region on
Sunday and deliver a shot of cool and dry Canadian Air to the
region through late next week.
Minimum relative humidity values will fall below 40 percent in
the afternoon hours each day next week. Some guidance is hinting
at MinRH values falling below 30 percent by midweek. With already
dry fuels in place and high Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI)
values centered over the Mid-South, there is a medium chance
(>40%) chance that wildfire danger becomes elevated next week. 20
foot winds will not be particularly strong, which should limit a
higher threat.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-222100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+3) 65 (-1) 90
RH % (24h trend) 52 (-2) 98 (-1) 45
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5300 5700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5600 6000
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 5 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 10 N 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 8500 9000
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 5 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 11 N 10
Dispersion Index 31 7 30
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-222100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+4) 66 (-1) 93
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-7) 96 (-2) 39
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 1900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5800 6300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 2000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6000 6500
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 N 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 10800 10000
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 5 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 11 N 11
Dispersion Index 34 7 32
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-222100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+7) 66 (+1) 92
RH % (24h trend) 46 (-5) 98 (-1) 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5100 5000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5500 5400
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 4 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 N 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 6800 6800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 5 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 11 N 11
Dispersion Index 23 8 23
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-222100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 90 (+3) 65 (0) 92
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+3) 98 (-1) 44
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5500 5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5900 5500
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 4 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 9 N 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 6800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 5 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 10 N 11
Dispersion Index 25 8 25
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-222100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 92 (+3) 67 (0) 94
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-7) 92 (-4) 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 1900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6000 6300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 2000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6200 6500
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 4 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 9 N 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 7600 8000
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 4 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 9 N 10
Dispersion Index 30 8 30
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-222100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+3) 68 (0) 91
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-6) 99 (+3) 46
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5700 5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6100 5500
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 3 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 N 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 5700 6800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 3 N 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 7 N 9
Dispersion Index 19 6 24
Stability Class A F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$