Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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916
FNUS54 KMEG 170830
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather danger is expected to remain at a minimum as minimum
relative humidity values teeter around 40-50% for the foreseeable
future. Due to dry and warm soils, nighttime fog formation is not
expected. Our next shot at wetting rain returns Thursday aided by
a cold frontal passage.


ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-172100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)     10           10
Precip Type           None         None         None
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend)      95 (-6)      69 (-8)      94
RH % (24h trend)      49 (+7)      97 (+6)      44
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    NW  5                     Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    N  6         N  4         Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1400                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4700                      4500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1500                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    5000                      4700
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NW  5                     NW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)     7500                      4200
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86                        82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  N  5                      E  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  N 12                      E  5
Dispersion Index      31           8            13
Stability Class       B            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-172100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)     20           10
Precip Type           None         None         None
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend)      99 (-2)      73 (-5)      98
RH % (24h trend)      46 (+7)      91 (+14)     41
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NW  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1500                      1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4900                      5400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1600                      1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    5100                      5600
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NW  5                     NW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)     8000                      5100
Category Day          4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 91                        85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NW  5                     NE  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NW 12                     NE  6
Dispersion Index      31           9            17
Stability Class       B            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 101. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-172100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)     10
Precip Type           None         None         None
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend)      93 (-7)      68 (-7)      91
RH % (24h trend)      55 (+13)     100 (+12)    44
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  4                      Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NW  6        N  4         Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1200                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4000                      3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1300                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4400                      4300
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NW  6                     N  3
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 13                     N  7
Vent Index (m2/s)     7800                      3900
Category Day          3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 88                        80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NW  6                     N  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NW 13                     N  6
Dispersion Index      34           8            17
Stability Class       B            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-172100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Precip Chance (%)     20
Precip Type           None         None         None
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend)      96 (-4)      69 (-7)      94
RH % (24h trend)      52 (+9)      100 (+15)    42
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  4                      Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NW  6        N  4         Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1300                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4400                      4600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1500                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    4800                      5000
Transport Wnd (m/s)   NW  5                     N  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 12                     N  8
Vent Index (m2/s)     7500                      6000
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 90                        81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NW  6                     N  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NW 13                     N  7
Dispersion Index      34           8            20
Stability Class       B            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-172100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0
Precip Chance (%)     20           20
Precip Type           Tstms        None         None
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin          12 PM
Precip End            6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      100 (-1)     74 (-4)      98
RH % (24h trend)      41 (+2)      91 (+12)     40
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  4                      Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1600                      2100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    5400                      6900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     1700                      2200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    5600                      7100
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  5                      NW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 12                      NW  8
Vent Index (m2/s)     8500                      8800
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 95                        87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  NW  6                     N  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  NW 13                     N  7
Dispersion Index      37           7            22
Stability Class       B            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 100. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-172100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0
Precip Chance (%)     20           20
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      None
Precip Amount         0.01         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            1
Precip Begin          12 PM        Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   11 PM
Temp (24h trend)      100 (0)      72 (-4)      96
RH % (24h trend)      41 (+1)      98 (+12)     39
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  4                      Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    W  6         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     1900                      1900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    6200                      6300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     2000                      2100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    6600                      6700
Transport Wnd (m/s)   W  7                      NW  4
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 15                      NW  9
Vent Index (m2/s)     14000                     8400
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 95                        85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  W  6                      N  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  W 14                      N  8
Dispersion Index      43           6            23
Stability Class       B            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

$$