Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
509
FNUS54 KMEG 122031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
No fire weather concerns are anticipated through the forecast
period. Hot and humid weather will keep MinRH values above 40%
with winds gusting to around 20 knots through this afternoon.
Thunderstorms are expected this evening with a marginal threat of
damaging winds, which will gradually decrease in coverage after
sunset. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow through the end
of the forecast period.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-130900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 70 40 50
Precip Chance (%) 50 70 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.09 0.13 0.08 0.05
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 3 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-4) 90 (-2) 72 91
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+6) 65 (+4) 100 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 4 SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3200 3200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3500 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 6600 6000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84 85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 4 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 11
Dispersion Index 11 37 7 26
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-130900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 40 50 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 40 50 50 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.16 0.07 0.04 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-2) 91 (-1) 73 92
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+4) 61 (+2) 99 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3700 3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3900 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 7200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86 85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 14
Dispersion Index 8 37 9 35
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-130900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 60 50 50
Precip Chance (%) 50 60 50 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.13 0.07 0.05 0.03
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 3 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End 10 PM Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-2) 91 (-1) 71 92
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+7) 65 (+3) 100 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3500 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3900 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 SW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 5000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84 87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 4 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 12
Dispersion Index 8 34 6 27
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-130900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 30 50 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 30 60 60 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.03
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End 10 PM Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-1) 91 (-2) 71 92
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+5) 62 (+3) 100 60
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3600 3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4000 3900
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 6 SW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 SW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 6000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86 87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 11 SW 12
Dispersion Index 8 33 7 31
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs
in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-130900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 40 0 40
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.10 0.05 0.01 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1 0 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End 1 AM Continuing 7 PM 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 72 (0) 92 (0) 72 93
RH % (24h trend) 97 (0) 58 (0) 99 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4300 4400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4500 4700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 8400 8400
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86 86
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 14
Dispersion Index 8 36 9 32
Stability Class F B F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs
in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-130900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 40 50 40
Precip Chance (%) 20 40 50 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 71 (0) 93 (+1) 71 94
RH % (24h trend) 98 (-1) 55 (-2) 99 55
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4600 4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5100 4400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 7500 5200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86 87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 4 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 11
Dispersion Index 7 31 7 24
Stability Class F A F A
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs
in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$