Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
553
FNUS54 KMEG 062006
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
306 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will increase across the area tonight as
an area of low pressure moves across the Lower Mississippi Valley.
The probabilities of rainfall exceeding 1 inch tonight into
Wednesday remains very low. Additional showers and thunderstorms
are possible for the remainder of the week into the upcoming
weekend as an upper-level low gradually moves into the area.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-070930-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
306 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 20 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.06 0.13 0.02 0.06
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+5) 71 (-5) 59 75
RH % (24h trend) 92 (-1) 70 (+24) 100 61
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 7 NE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 E 8 E 4 NE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1800 3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2100 3600
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 12 N 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 3000 4400
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 64 67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 5 E 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 11 E 8
Dispersion Index 13 31 9 18
Stability Class D C E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-070930-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
306 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 20 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.11 0.08 0.01 0.09
Precip Duration (hrs) 8 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+4) 73 (-4) 60 77
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+7) 76 (+31) 100 63
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 SE 5 Lgt/Var N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2200 3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 3600
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 4 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 8 S 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 2800 4400
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 5 SE 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 10 SE 10
Dispersion Index 12 18 5 23
Stability Class D C F B
Stagnation Index 2 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-070930-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
306 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 40
Precip Chance (%) 30 60 20 40
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.01 0.20 0.03 0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 3 1 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+8) 71 (-4) 58 76
RH % (24h trend) 88 (-10) 65 (+20) 100 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var NE 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1500 2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1900 2800
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 N 3
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 N 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 3600 2700
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 62 66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 5 NE 2
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 12 NE 4
Dispersion Index 10 29 8 12
Stability Class D C D B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-070930-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
306 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 50 70 20 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.03 0.22 0.03 0.09
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 4 1 2
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+5) 71 (-6) 59 77
RH % (24h trend) 97 (+1) 72 (+29) 100 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1800 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 4 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 2000 3000
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 65 68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 6 SE 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 13 SE 9
Dispersion Index 12 22 5 18
Stability Class D C E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-070930-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
306 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 90 80 20 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.23 0.10 0.03 0.13
Precip Duration (hrs) 8 3 1 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+4) 76 (-2) 62 80
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+8) 75 (+29) 100 63
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2300 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2500 2800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 S 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 4000 4500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 6 SE 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 14 SE 13
Dispersion Index 14 25 5 25
Stability Class D C F B
Stagnation Index 1 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-070930-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
306 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 20 50
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 20 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.15 0.14 0.04 0.14
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 3 1 5
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+8) 74 (-4) 61 79
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+3) 73 (+30) 100 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1600 2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2000 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 5 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 3000 4000
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 16 S 11
Dispersion Index 12 23 5 23
Stability Class D C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$