Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
571 FXUS64 KMEG 112303 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 603 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 602 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 - Dry conditions will continue through the majority of next week. - High temperatures will remain in the upper 70s to low 80s through the weekend, before slowly increase to the low to mid 80s by the middle of next week. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Friday) Issued at 1027 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Overall, a persistence forecast continues across the Mid-South with temperatures currently residing in the upper 60s to low 70s under a sunny sky. Very little changes are noted from the previous forecast, with a deep, upper-level trough draped across the region. High temperatures are expected to remain near to just a hair above normal through the weekend with this regime, with highs spanning the upper 70s to low 80s. Patchy fog may develop again tonight and tomorrow night, mainly near the sunrise hours. Into next week, an upper-level ridge will begin to develop across the area with subtle WAA to the region. Expect for conditions to remain dry, but will see a small uptick in our temperatures with highs returning to the low to mid 70s across the region by the middle of the week. Guidance begins to become spread near the end of next week, as models disagree with a deepening trough over the western half of the U.S. As such, there is little confidence in the forecast heading into next weekend. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 602 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 VFR. No aviation concerns.| && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1027 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 MinRH values will remain in the 35% to 45% range for the foreseeable future, with no measurable rainfall in the forecast. With the dry conditions, minor fire danger concerns should be noted. However, light winds should alleviate any major concerns. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...CMA AVIATION...JDS