736
FXUS64 KMEG 211712
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1112 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1111 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

-A gradual warming trend will begin after tomorrow with high
 temperatures reaching 60 degrees by Monday.

-Rain chances increase Wednesday and Thursday with a new frontal
 passage. Rain accumulation is currently expected to be less than
 one half inch.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1111 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

Updated to remove the Cold Weather Advisory. A warming trend will
continue into the middle of next week with little to no rain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 253 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

A 1043 mb surface arctic high pressure was centered near Kansas
City this morning. Temps across the Mid-South ranged from the
upper single digits to the mid teems with wind chills approaching
zero. A Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect through noon.
Between the ponding water sitting around the Mid-South from recent
flooding and this recent cold snap there is lots of thin ice
around the Mid-South right now. It has not been cold enough for
long enough to create safe ice so remind the kiddos to stay off.

The arctic high pressure will gradually shift to the SE US and
weaken over the weekend. Expect another cold one today with highs
generally in the 20s and 30s followed by another very cold night
in the teens and lower 20s. Winds turn southwesterly this weekend
and a warming trend gets started for real with highs in the 30s
and 40s on Saturday and 40s and 50s on Sunday.

Zonal flow aloft will predominate this weekend into next week
with some weak, moisture starved, upper level disturbances moving
through. Temps will continue to warm next week with highs in the
60s and lows in the 40s.

A front will move through Wednesday afternoon and night. This
system looks to produce some showers and light rainfall amounts,
perhaps up to one half inch. A cooler airmass, though not of arctic
origin, will push in for the end of the week cooling highs into
the 50s. All in all a fairly benign week coming up.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1103 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the period as high pressure
continues to dominate the region. Light winds will shift from
northeast to more west/northwest with the movement of weak
southerly flow.

AEH

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...AEH