170
FXUS64 KMEG 231105
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
505 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 452 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

-A warming trend will begin today and persist through midweek.
 Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.

-Rain chances increase Wednesday night into Thursday as a cold
 front crosses the Mid-South. Rainfall totals with this system
 will remain below a quarter of an inch.

-Dry conditions and near normal temperatures will persist through
 next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

Arctic high pressure will finally move east today, allowing
southerly winds to advect warm air into the Mid-South. A few CAMs
suggest stray showers working their way into north Mississippi
this afternoon. However, forecast soundings over the area depict a
stout layer of dry air aloft. Therefore, any precipitation that
does fall will likely evaporate before reaching the surface. A few
areas may be able to overcome this dry air, but rainfall totals
will remain negligible.

The upcoming week will feature a warming trend as highs on Wednesday
reach the upper 60s and low 70s. Elsewhere in CONUS on Wednesday,
an upper level trough will form over the Central Plains and push
into the Mid-South early Thursday. An attendant cold front will
bring chances for showers and a thunderstorm or two. However,
rainfall totals will remain below a quarter of an inch.

Temperatures on Thursday will cool in response to the
aforementioned frontal passage, with highs in the upper 50s and
low 60s. Expect temperatures to warm again starting Friday with a
dry cold front impacting the area late Saturday night.

ANS

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 505 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2025

VFR conditions continue. Additional clouds are expected to move in
this afternoon, but -SHRA should remain south of the area. Light
winds, generally S/SW through the current TAF period.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...CMA