Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
853 FXUS64 KMEG 020455 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1155 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1153 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 - Relief from the recent extreme heat will continue through the weekend. High temperatures will be in the 80s to lower 90s. - Rain chances will remain minimal into next week with average amounts less than one-quarter inch. - Temperatures will begin to rise again during the latter half of next week. However, there is still uncertainty whether or not we will see widespread triple digit heat indices again. && .DISCUSSION... (Tonight through next Friday) Issued at 1130 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 A weak cold front is located over portions of central Alabama and central Mississippi. This front will continue to slowly push away from the Mid-South on Saturday. A few isolated showers and thunderstorms may develop during peak heating across portions of northeast Mississippi southeast of Tupelo. Otherwise, rain-free weather will prevail this weekend across the Mid-South. Temperatures will remain pleasant compared to the recent heatwave with highs in the 80s and overnight lows in the 60s. Latest deterministic and ensemble model solutions indicate a shortwave trough dropping into the Lower Mississippi Valley early next week. This will result in a return of convective chances (20-30 percent) especially along and east of the Mississippi through mid-week. Temperatures will begin to increase towards the latter half of next week as a ridge over the Western United States begins to build east into the region. Highs will return back into the lower to middle 90s along with an increase in humidity. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1153 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 No aviation concerns. Broad surface high pressure will remain in place across the region. AC3 && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1130 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 No fire weather concerns throughout the period as humidity remains around 50 percent and 20 ft winds below 10 mph. highs in the 80s and low 90s through early next week. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...CJC AVIATION...AC3