


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
777 FXUS64 KMEG 081555 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1055 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1055 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 - High pressure will build into the region bringing cooler temperatures for the remainder of the week. Highs are expected to be in the 70s through Friday. - Temperatures will warm back up this weekend with highs reaching into the mid 80s by Monday and Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Tuesday) Issued at 1055 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 Cool and dry air will continue to filter into the Mid-South today behind a cold front. Overnight, dewpoints will drop to the upper 40s areawide. Continual CAA will allow for temperatures on Thursday to remain in the low to mid 70s, bringing the first taste of fall to the Mid-South. Overnight lows Thursday into Friday will drop into the mid 40s for areas along the TN/KY border. Unfortunately, a warming trend will resume this weekend as an upper level ridge builds over Texas. Luckily, this ridge will have a hard time pushing east through Sunday as multiple shortwaves traverse northern and eastern CONUS. Highs on Sunday will be in the low 80s. Additional warming is forecast for the beginning of next week as the center of the aforementioned ridge pushes towards the Mid- South. By midweek, highs will be in the mid to upper 80s. For now, no rain is in the forecast for the foreseeable future. ANS && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 600 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 FROPA ongoing at KMEM resulting in MVFR ceilings and gusty winds. Post frontal MVFR ceilings will linger for a few hours before scattering and/or lifting to VFR. Northerly winds will remain elevated and gusty for much of the day due to a tight pressure gradient, but all terminals should be back to VFR by this afternoon. DNM && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1055 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025 A gradual increase in fire danger is anticipated this weekend as prolonged dry conditions lead to less fuel moisture. In addition, MinRH in the 30 to 40 percentile range will support a slight increase in fire danger. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS AVIATION...DNM