524
ACUS11 KWNS 021835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021834
NEZ000-022230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0003
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 PM CST Fri Jan 02 2026

Areas affected...Parts of central NE

Concerning...Freezing rain

Valid 021834Z - 022230Z

SUMMARY...Freezing rain may continue through the afternoon, and may
occasionally mix with sleet. Modest ice accretion is possible.

DISCUSSION...Precipitation has gradually increased in coverage
through the morning across western/central NE, in association with
midlevel shortwave trough moving east-southeastward across the
region. Initial dryness in the 850-700 mb layer (as observed in the
18Z OAX sounding) has likely limited precipitation amounts to some
extent, but a modest increase in rates is possible into mid
afternoon as saturation occurs and precipitation continues. The
surface freezing line is currently oriented north-south across
west-central NE, and is expected to make only slow eastward progress
through the afternoon, as ongoing precipitation and low-level
cold/dry advection help to maintain subfreezing conditions farther
east.

The bulk of the afternoon precipitation will fall where surface
temperatures will remain below freezing. Some sleet will be possible
within the colder environment across north-central/northeast NE, but
short-term guidance continues to indicate primarily freezing rain
across central NE, where a shallower subfreezing layer will be in
place. Precipitation will generally remain rather light, but 3-hour
rates may approach or exceed 0.05", with modest ice accretion
possible.

..Dean.. 01/02/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON   42599956 42539834 41849752 41329706 40939707 40739767
            40719860 40919965 41139992 41439999 42160004 42599956