951
ACUS11 KWNS 192208
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192208
MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-192315-

Mesoscale Discussion 2088
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0508 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Areas affected...Minnesota and northern Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

Valid 192208Z - 192315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered storms capable of severe wind, hail, and a
tornado.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development is ongoing along an occluding
front and lifting warm front located across Minnesota and Wisconsin
into Canada. Storms are located within a narrow corridor of
instability and have shown increase in intensity over the last 30
minutes, with a few cells exhibiting rotation. A watch is likely to
be needed to cover this threat.

..Thornton/Hart.. 09/19/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...

LAT...LON   45969333 47299288 48089240 47979006 47768959 46908947
            46049015 45549038 45859308 45969333