Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
895 ACUS11 KWNS 102342 SWOMCD SPC MCD 102342 OKZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-110115- Mesoscale Discussion 1925 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0642 PM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025 Areas affected...Central High Plains Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 102342Z - 110115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will spread east with an attendant risk for damaging winds and large hail. Severe thunderstorm watch will likely be issued. DISCUSSION...Short-wave trough is digging southeast across western CO early this evening. Scattered robust convection has developed ahead of this feature across the High Plains from southeast WY, eastern CO, and northeast NM. This activity is spreading east within a favorable upslope environment characterized by ample buoyancy and modest mid-level flow. While LLJ is not expected to be particularly strong across western KS this evening, favorable storm inflow suggests ongoing activity may continue to grow upscale as it spreads east. While a few supercells are expected, upscale growth may lead to a larger complex that should generate wind along the leading squall line. ..Darrow/Guyer.. 08/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB... LAT...LON 36700226 40480199 40490022 36959966 36700226 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN