640
FNUS74 KMAF 050820
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for North Hay Hollow...BLM
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
220 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on March 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Below critical Min RHs are expected today and Friday.
Southwesterly winds are expected to be pick up this afternoon and
become quite breezy, with gusts up to 35 to 40 mph likely. As
such, near-critical to critical fire weather concerns are expected
to develop. Tonight, winds remain breezy but decrease with gusts
around 25-30 mph. Poor overnight recoveries are forecast tonight,
with Max RHs only topping out around 27 percent. Min RHs remain
below critical thresholds Friday and breezy conditions are
expected to redevelop. As a result, near-critical to critical fire
weather concerns persist. Winds may gust up to 35 mph at times
Friday afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........8 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 mph increasing to 20 to 27 mph with
                    gusts to around 35 to 40 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph increasing to 29 to 31
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (55500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (236100
                    knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............53     66     76     78     79
RH..............50     28     14     10     9
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT wind spd..6      9      17     21     20
20 FT wind gust.8      13     21     25     28
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1500   5500   8400   9300
Transp wind dir.S      SW     SW     SW     SW
Transp wind spd.7      12     23     29     31
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3      16     110    209    252
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   VYGD   EXNT   EXNT

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph decreasing to 25 mph in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 26 mph shifting to the west 13
                    to 18 mph early in the evening, then increasing
                    to 23 to 32 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (181700 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
                    (21300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (5500 knot-ft) late in the night.

TIME (CST)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............78        64        59        59
RH..............9         15        18        20
20 FT wind dir..SW        W         SW        SW
20 FT wind spd..17        12        13        15
20 FT wind gust.26        17        19        21
Mix hgt (ft)....7900      500       700       700
Transp wind dir.SW        W         W         W
Transp wind spd.26        13        23        30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..182       6         13        18
Ventrate Cat....EXNT      POOR      POOR      POOR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........8 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph increasing to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 32 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (101100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (133500
                    knot-ft) late in the morning.

TIME (CST)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............54           64           71
RH..............25           15           9
20 FT wind dir..SW           SW           W
20 FT wind spd..14           17           22
20 FT wind gust.20           24           28
Mix hgt (ft)....900          4100         6400
Transp wind dir.W            W            W
Transp wind spd.25           29           31
Vrate kt-ft/1K..19           101          171
Ventrate Cat....POOR         VYGD         EXNT

$$
Forecaster...Greening
Requested by...James Faust
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604613.2/MAF
.DELDT 03/05/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jfaust@blm.gov