Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
495
FNUS54 KMAF 222045
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
345 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions are expected
through the weekend over Southeast New Mexico and adjacent areas
of West Texas, mainly due to single-digit minimum relative
humidity each afternoon coincident with ERCs at or above the 75th
percentile. 20-ft winds will also range between 10 to 20 mph at
times. A cold front Sunday night and Monday will alleviate fire
weather concerns the rest of the week. Recovery overnight will be
poor in the Sacramento Foothills, but moderate to excellent
elsewhere.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-231045-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
245 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-3) 95 (+4) 58 94
RH % (24h trend) 36 (+15) 7 (+1) 26 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8 SW 6 SW 12 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 6 S 12 W 9 SW 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 17 30 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 15010 13650
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 20 SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 300200 300300
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 3 4 4
RFTI Category Elevated Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-231045-
Chaves Plains-
245 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+1) 98 (+3) 58 99
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+58) 9 (+1) 75 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 7 SW 7 SW 12 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 SW 9 S 9 SW 8
Wind 10000 FT MSL 19 16 28 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 15320 15470
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 21 SW 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 321720 293930
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 1 2 2
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-231045-
Eddy Plains-
245 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-1) 100 (+2) 63 100
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+46) 11 (+3) 67 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 8 S 8 S 12 SW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9 S 9 S 10 SW 9
Wind 10000 FT MSL 16 15 26 11
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14300 14630
Transport Wnd (kts) S 18 SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 257400 292600
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 2 2 2
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-231045-
Lea-
245 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-1) 98 (+2) 61 99
RH % (24h trend) 99 (+26) 11 (+3) 86 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 8 S 12 S 12 S 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 12 SW 11 S 13 SW 9
Wind 10000 FT MSL 17 22 26 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14110 15440
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 20 SW 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 282200 293360
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 1 1 1
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-231045-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
345 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025 /245 PM MDT Thu May 22 2025/
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-2) 94 (+5) 62 92
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+11) 10 (0) 40 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7 S 10 S 9 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 8 SW 12 SW 10 W 12
Wind 10000 FT MSL 15 18 24 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13340 10850
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 18 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 240120 227850
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 1 1 1
RFTI Category Nil Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-231045-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
345 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 20
Temp (24h trend) 63 (-3) 101 (+5) 64 101
RH % (24h trend) 78 (+14) 12 (-1) 68 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 7 S 7 SE 9 SW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8 S 9 S 8 SW 8
Wind 10000 FT MSL 11 24 29 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12980 13980
Transport Wnd (kts) S 16 SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 207680 251640
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-231045-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
345 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (-3) 100 (+2) 67 101
RH % (24h trend) 93 (+13) 17 (-1) 83 13
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 S 12 S 13 S 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 11 S 12 S 13 S 10
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 26 27 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10490 12460
Transport Wnd (kts) S 24 S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 251760 274120
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$