Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
465
FNUS54 KMAF 050828
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
228 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm temperatures are expected across West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico through Saturday. Consequent minimum
relative humidity combined with increasing 20-ft westerly
winds beginning this afternoon have prompted a Rangeland Fire
Danger Statement for Southeast New Mexico, the Guadalupe Mountains,
and adjacent areas of West Texas. Similar conditions are expected
Friday and Saturday afternoons. However, higher ERCs will be confined
to the south, and not coincident with elevated fire weather conditions
northwest. In addition, CIPS analogs suggest the threat will be
elevated at worst.
A cold front Saturday night will alleviate concerns as cooler air moves
into the region. Recovery overnight will be poor in the Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains, as well as the Sacramento Foothills, but moderate
to excellent elsewhere. Recovery Wednesday night will be poor over most
of Southeast New Mexico and areas of West Texas to the south, but
moderate to excellent elsewhere. Relative humidity will bottom
out at 6-40% this afternoon, and 5-25% Thursday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-052300-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
128 AM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+3) 39 (-8) 76
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-7) 22 (-7) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 14 W 15 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 21 W 13 SW 15
Wind 10000 FT MSL 46 35 29
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4850 4450
Transport Wnd (kts) W 29 SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 140650 115700
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 7 3 5
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-052300-
Chaves Plains-
128 AM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+4) 36 (-6) 79
RH % (24h trend) 7 (-10) 39 (-41) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 7 W 8 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11 W 5 S 8
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 26 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4760 3060
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 19 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 90440 48960
Vent Category Good Fair
RFTI 3 2 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs
around 60. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-052300-
Eddy Plains-
128 AM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+4) 39 (-7) 81
RH % (24h trend) 7 (-8) 32 (-35) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 9 SW 13 NW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 18 W 8 SW 11
Wind 10000 FT MSL 37 31 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4820 3990
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 125320 83790
Vent Category Very good Good
RFTI 7 4 4
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows around 40. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-052300-
Lea-
128 AM MST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+5) 40 (-8) 80
RH % (24h trend) 7 (-14) 38 (-61) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 10 SW 10 NW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 16 W 7 SW 9
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 30 30
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5340 4060
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 24 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 128160 69020
Vent Category Very good Good
RFTI 5 2 1
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-052300-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
228 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2025 /128 AM MST Wed Feb 5 2025/
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (0) 45 (-4) 75
RH % (24h trend) 10 (0) 22 (-9) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 16 W 21 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 27 W 12 W 14
Wind 10000 FT MSL 33 33 27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3290 3090
Transport Wnd (kts) W 30 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 98700 71070
Vent Category Good Good
RFTI 6 5 3
RFTI Category Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-052300-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
228 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+1) 46 (-4) 86
RH % (24h trend) 9 (0) 56 (-14) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 7 SW 6 SW 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10 W 5 SW 8
Wind 10000 FT MSL 20 23 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5100 5340
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 17 SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 86700 90780
Vent Category Good Good
RFTI 2 1 1
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 70.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-052300-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
228 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 85 (+6) 44 (-8) 86
RH % (24h trend) 11 (-18) 94 (+1) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 11 S 9 W 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 12 SW 7 SW 7
Wind 10000 FT MSL 28 29 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4540 4050
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 18 SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 81720 48600
Vent Category Good Fair
RFTI 1 0 0
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$